Selective Press Extinctions, but Not Random Pulse Extinctions, Cause Delayed Ecological Recovery in Communities of Digital Organisms
Abstract:
A key issue concerning recovery from mass extinctions is how extinction and diversification mechanisms affect the recovery process. We evolved communities of digital organisms, subjecting them to instantaneous “pulse” extinctions, choosing survivors at random, or to prolonged “press” extinctions involving a period of low resource availability. Functional activity at low trophic levels recovered faster than at higher levels, with the most extensive delays seen at the top level. Postpress communities generally did not fully recover functional activity in the allotted time, which equaled that of their original diversification. We measured recovery of phenotypic diversity, observing considerable variation in outcomes. Communities subjected to pulse extinctions recovered functional activity and phenotypic diversity substantially faster than when subjected to press extinctions. Follow‐up experiments tested whether organisms with shorter generation times and low functional activity contributed to delayed recovery after press extinctions. The results indicate that adaptation during the press episode degraded the organisms’ ability to reevolve preextinction functionality. There are interesting parallels with patterns from the paleontological record. We suggest that some delayed recoveries from mass extinction may reflect the need to both reevolve biological functions and reconstruct ecological interactions lost during the extinction. Adaptation to conditions during an extended disturbance may hinder subsequent recovery.
Submitted January 12, 2008; Accepted July 28, 2008; Electronically published February 16, 2009
Keywords: digital organisms, experimental evolution, mass extinction, recovery, selectivity.
Introduction
At least five times during the history of life on Earth, mass extinctions have resulted in the loss of a large fraction of the planet’s biota (Hallam and Wignall 1997). These events are also important for the new opportunities they create for surviving species and the new phylogenetic patterns and ecological interactions that emerge as a result of recovery and rediversification (Erwin 2001). Some episodes of extinction and recovery, such as at the Ordovician‐Silurian and Triassic‐Jurassic boundaries, appear to have had relatively little long‐term impact on contemporary biota, while others caused drastic shifts in the course of evolution, with the end‐Permian being the most extreme example (Erwin 1998a, 1998b; McGhee et al. 2004). Increased attention has therefore been paid to the dynamics of recovery from mass extinctions, particularly those variables that might promote or impede recovery. A wide range of evidence, including geochemical studies, fossil occurrences, and time series analyses, suggests that delays in the recovery of biological diversity can sometimes span millions of years (D’Hondt et al. 1998; Looy et al. 1999; Benton et al. 2004). The idea that there are prolonged lags in recovery from at least some mass extinctions has gained currency, with delays being observed in both empirical investigations using fossil compendia (Kirchner and Weil 2000a, 2000b; Kirchner 2002) and a recent modeling study (Solé et al. 2002).
The dynamics of such recoveries remain a contentious issue. Early equilibrium‐based models suggested that recovery after a mass extinction should rapidly refill ecological niches lost during the extinction episode (Carr and Kitchell 1980; Valentine 1980; Sepkoski 1984). However, these models have been criticized as being uninformative with respect to relevant biological and ecological mechanisms and inconsistent with empirical work that suggests more complex dynamics involving rebuilding and reevolution of collapsed ecological communities rather than simple refilling of emptied niches (Hewzulla et al. 1999; Kirchner and Weil 2000b; Erwin 2007). Erwin (2001, 2007) has advocated a need for process‐based models that account for synergistic interactions between ecosystem components. These interactions are presumed to result in a positive feedback process that can increase the overall carrying capacity of an ecosystem. Such a dynamic could produce a delayed burst of diversification after a lag phase that represents the time needed for certain basic ecological interactions to be reestablished. These views have their roots in the differing niche concepts of Simpson (1944, 1953), who favored a static niche‐filling model, and Whittaker (1977), who postulated a self‐augmenting phenomenology for diversity (Schluter 2000). In recent years, the latter view has garnered increased attention from some paleontologists (e.g., Kirchner and Weil 2000b; Erwin 2001, 2007). However, empirical studies using fossil compendia have not yet resolved the issue. Results of some time series and power spectrum analyses of these compendia (Hewzulla et al. 1999; Kirchner and Weil 2000a, 2000b; Kirchner 2002), from which delayed recovery is inferred, are attributed to the active rebuilding of collapsed ecological structures (as opposed to simply radiating into vacated niches). This rebuilding is postulated to create new ecological opportunities that spur further evolutionary diversification. However, a similar study, using a compendium where occurrence times are adjusted for the incompleteness of the fossil record, reported that delayed recoveries are artifactual and that any delays largely disappear after accounting for the incomplete record (Lu et al. 2006).
This article investigates the ecological and evolutionary dynamics of extinction and recovery in a digital model system, following a massive environmental perturbation. Using this model system offers a number of compelling advantages. The records of key quantities and metrics are much more complete than what is possible with the geological fossil record, and the resulting data are free of the preservational artifacts that complicate quantitative analysis of fossil time series data. A digital system also offers the opportunity to bring a manipulative experimental approach to the problem of studying extinction and recovery. One can “replay life’s tape” (Gould 1989; Travisano et al. 1995; Yedid and Bell 2002), making changes at specific time points in what would otherwise be identical replicates. In these experiments, we examine only a single round of extinction and recovery but do so with many independent replicates generated in parallel.
The Digital Microcosm
We use the Avida digital evolution system (Lenski et al. 2003; Chow et al. 2004; Ofria and Wilke 2004) as a platform for these experiments. This and similar computational systems have been used to study a number of fundamental problems in evolution (Lenski et al. 1999, 2003; Yedid and Bell 2001, 2002; Cooper and Ofria 2002; Chow et al. 2004; Misevic et al. 2006). Ofria and Wilke (2004) and appendix A give more details about the general operation of Avida.
The virtual environment in our experiments has depletable resources, meaning an organism’s access to a given resource is reduced as the resource is consumed by competitors (Cooper and Ofria 2002; Chow et al. 2004). While the experimenter must specify in advance how functions performed by the digital organisms are mapped to resources, the particular organisms that use those resources—as well as the manner in which they do so—may evolve freely. Biotic interactions are simple and facilitative: the digital organisms consume resources and generate by‐products that can themselves serve as resources for other individuals, permitting construction of cross‐feeding, codependent environments with trophic structure. Therefore, the disappearance of organisms producing certain resources can also result in the extinction of other organisms dependent on those resources. A schematic of the interactive network used is shown in figure 1. For example, the simple logic function NOT is linked to three higher‐level functions (AND, ORN, and OR) and must be performed three times—each time consuming a unit of the resource mapped to NOT—in order to produce one unit of each resource mapped to those higher‐level functions (a 3:1:1:1 conversion). Consumption on higher trophic levels works similarly. This arrangement emulates a directed‐energy‐transfer system where efficiency decreases between levels (Lindeman 1942) and produces a trophic pyramid where most of the total functionality of the community (and thus produced energy) is at the bottom, decreasing progressively at higher levels. There are no poisons, and “downward” movement of resources from higher levels to lower levels is not implemented. Usually, the digital organisms evolve the ability to perform several kinds of logic function per organism (Cooper and Ofria 2002; Chow et al. 2004), so a given organism may sometimes use its own by‐products as additional resources.
Figure 1: Schematic of the cascading trophic interactions used in this study. Resources are associated with each of the logic functions shown. The reward value for performing the particular function is shown in parentheses next to the function name. A line connecting resources signifies that the lower‐level function consumes the incoming resource and produces a by‐product that is available for the higher‐level function. Only the resources associated with the lowest‐level functions NOT and NAND are provided exogenously. Example conversion factors are shown to the right of one of the inflowing resources and on the connection arrows; in this case, three units of the NOT resource are required to produce one unit each of the resources for AND, ORN, and OR. Similarly, three units of the AND resource are required to produce one unit each of the ANDN, NOR, and XOR resources.
We emphasize that this arrangement is not a true food web because true predation (direct consumption of one organism by another) is not implemented. Rather, the cross‐feeding relationships that arise among the digital organisms more closely resemble the coexisting bacterial ecotypes reported by Rozen et al. (2005), where a later‐evolving type develops the ability to consume metabolites produced by an earlier‐evolved type, thus enabling mutual coexistence. Further, the arrangement and stoichiometry shown in figure 1 are user configured, not inherent to the system. Alternate environment setups that either use direct 1:1:1:1 conversions or have all resources provided at equal inflow rates without any ecological interactions are unsatisfactory, in that they produce unrealistic, inverted trophic pyramid structures where the middle and higher levels have more total functionality.
Instantiating Extinction
We examine “press” and “pulse” extinctions. In geological terms, pulse extinctions happen with sufficient speed and power that no adaptive change occurs during the extinction episode, while press extinctions occur over a longer period that (theoretically) allows for an adaptive response in affected populations (Erwin 1998b). Pulse extinctions occur here by an instantaneous mass culling of organisms from the population, leaving a small number of survivors whose descendants may diversify to fill any vacated niches. In contrast, press extinctions are provoked by lowering the inflow rate of resources to near‐starvation levels for a protracted period of time (a press episode). This episode creates conditions favoring different adaptations in the community. More complicated geochemical cycle models have simulated extinction‐driving conditions through sudden drastic reductions or shutdowns of productivity (Grard et al. 2005; Rampino and Caldeira 2005). Unlike the case in pulse extinctions, there is no massive population cull and resultant loss of biomass. Organisms with more complex phenotypes are actively replaced by simpler ones as resources for higher trophic levels become unavailable, so the extinction magnitude is not standardized across replicates, as with pulse extinctions. It can produce, at a maximum, 99.972% population extinction by eliminating all but one preextinction lineage, which then becomes the most recent common ancestor for the postextinction population. While the press episodes may be very severe in the magnitude of the reduction, results in appendix E suggest that reductions above a near‐starvation threshold are inadequate for producing any meaningful extinction response, at least in the time frame used in these experiments. Ecological recovery is then later initiated by restoring resource inflows to preextinction levels. A press episode creates altered selective pressures that often lower diversity, at least over the short term. The closest biological analogue is food web collapse resulting from disruption of primary production, which has been implicated in several of the major extinctions in Earth history (Rhodes and Thayer 1991; Martin 1996; Hallam and Wignall 1997; Twitchett 2001; Benton and Twitchett 2003). Our model differs from previous ones that rely on direct, targeted removals at the primary‐producer level (Amaral and Meyer 1999; Solé et al. 2002); further discussion of differences between our model and these is provided in appendix A. We trigger a major alteration of the abiotic environment and let the ecosystem adjust and evolve entirely on its own. Our focus here is on the community‐level effects of the extinction and recovery processes, particularly the latter.
Measuring Recovery
Paleontologists and paleoecologists use a number of different definitions of recovery that focus on different aspects of the recovery process and employ different types of data (Erwin 2000). Most common are measures based on counts of the number of taxa (at some taxonomic level) and their stratigraphic spans. However, it is difficult to apply conventional taxonomic concepts to these asexual digital organisms, and there is no a priori scheme for dividing time into defined “stratigraphic” periods. We have examined the following aspects of the system in order to gauge recovery.
Total functional activity at each trophic level over the course of the experiment. We measure the total level of expression for each of the logic functions on a particular trophic level. For example, the expression levels for the functions NOT and NAND are summed together to yield the total amount of primary‐producer activity. Functional activity is a “common currency” for all biological activity in Avida, which must be measured in different ways and by different methods for living organisms (e.g., evolved oxygen can be used to measure activity rates in photosynthetic organisms but not in heterotrophs). This metric is most similar to using paleogeochemical data to infer historical ecosystem activity (usually productivity), but we measure it directly in real time. Because of genetic correlations, logic functions are not independent of each other in their occurrence and output level, so a given organism can often perform several different functions on different trophic levels. Thus, most Avida communities do not have many strict representatives at each trophic level. For example, many organisms in a population may have some level of primary‐producer activity in addition to other functions they perform. Similar complications occur in real ecosystems, such as omnivores that consume both plants and animals or facultative autotrophs among microbes. These factors contribute to variable resilience to the press episode (see “Results”) but do mean that very high loss of productivity occurs before top‐level function disappears, probably much higher than would be required to collapse real‐world ecosystems with lesser degrees of omnivory.
Number of phenotypes representing distinct functional combinations present in the community. Phenotypes in Avida are based on the set of logic functions a digital organism can perform. Logic function expression is measured in a binary manner, such that two genotypes that perform the same set of functions are scored as the same phenotype. Phenotypic groupings are often not monophyletic because organisms from multiple clades may independently evolve the same set of functions. However, many organisms with the same phenotype will often share a recent common ancestor, especially for sets comprising several or higher‐level functions. This metric may underestimate diversity because two genotypes that perform the same set of functions but at different output levels and deriving different relative benefit from each are combined into one group.
Material and Methods
Experimental Platform and Environmental Configuration
Specifics of the experimental platform and environmental configuration are given in appendix A.
Experimental Methodology
We perform a total of 100 replicates for each treatment (except as indicated otherwise). Absolute time is measured in “updates,” an arbitrary unit of time where each individual in the population executes, on average, 30 instructions. The following types of treatments are performed.
Preextinction evolution. Each replicate runs for 100,000 updates of evolutionary time.
Press/recovery treatment. Each replicate runs for 100,000 updates exactly as above, including using the same initial random‐number seed. Resource inflows are then lowered by two orders of magnitude for 5,000 updates and then restored to preextinction levels for a subsequent 100,000 updates of evolution. This period—the press episode—is applied uniformly across experiments as absolute time, much as extinction‐driving crises act for a specific amount of geological time, irrespective of the generation times of the organisms affected. However, they are generally short compared with preceding background periods. Results for a permanently applied press and a graded restoration of resources are shown in appendix E.
Press‐only treatment. Each replicate runs for 100,000 updates exactly as above, including the same initial random‐number seed. Resource inflows are then lowered by two orders of magnitude for 5,000 updates and then restored to preextinction levels for 100,000 updates. Mutation is then turned off in concert with restoration of resource inflows in order to isolate organisms from the end of the press episode that can coexist stably without any further evolutionary change (Cooper and Ofria 2002). These stably coexisting organisms are used for supplementary experiments (see app. D).
Pulse extinctions. Each replicate runs for 100,000 updates, at which time an instantaneous mass cull of the population is performed, with no alteration of resource inflows. Survivors are picked at random only from the pool of viable organisms. This pulse extinction is followed by 100,000 updates of recovery. We perform culls of four individuals from the preextinction size of 3,600 organisms (99.9% extinction) because culls of fewer than this number often isolate survivors that are rendered sterile by mutation shortly after the pulse.
Uninterrupted evolution. Each replicate runs for 205,000 updates, with no extinction treatment. This treatment serves as a control to see how evolution would have progressed in the absence of any perturbation. Control results are presented in figure B3.
We also perform a few “large‐world” experiments that feature a total community size of
and where 30 logic functions were rewarded (out of a possible set of 77). These supplementary experiments examine the effect of increased population size and environmental complexity of ecosystems on the general results obtained in the main experiments. The environmental configuration and typical results are presented in figures B4 and B5.
Although we compare and contrast the effects of press and pulse extinctions, they differ in multiple respects, such as the effect of stochastic extinctions versus selective extinctions, as well as in demographic factors, including differences in survivor population size and duration of the extinction episodes. In particular, the press extinctions do not permit a straightforward estimation of extinction magnitude, as do the pulse extinctions. Quantifying the magnitude of press extinctions requires examination of genealogical and phylogenetic details of the survivors, which lies beyond the scope of this study. We present evidence that the effects of selection during the press episode are an especially important factor influencing the dynamics of recovery.
Response of Generation Time, Effects of Density, and Survivor Composition
We also examine the behavior of the average generation time (the total number of instructions required for an organism to execute its entire code and thereby replicate itself) for the press and pulse extinctions and the correspondence between absolute time and generational time, which helps verify and characterize the adaptive response of organisms during the press episode. Additionally, we examine the effect of varying the density and specific composition of the survivor organisms on the recovery dynamics. Results for these supplementary analyses and experiments are presented in appendix D.
Analysis
Where our graphs show trajectories averaged over multiple replicates of a treatment, we usually present approximate upper and lower 95% confidence series around the average trajectory, except in cases where these would obscure the result. When these intervals exclude the point estimates for another treatment at a particular time, those treatments are then judged to be significantly different. Although the values at sequential time points are not independent in the series here, the differences are clear and compelling at many (if not most) time points.
Results
Press Extinctions: Loss of Top‐Level Function with Productivity Decline
In 78 of 100 replicates, trophic level L3 functionality first evolved and disappeared during the press episode. However, the virtual ecosystems demonstrated varying degrees of resilience. L3 expression disappeared completely only after trophic level L0 expression declined to between 91.27% and 99.98% (average
[2 SE]) of its immediate preextinction value, which required between 825 and 4,900 updates to occur (average
[2 SE]). Thus, top consumption was extinguished only after a very large decline in productivity. Additional information on functional degradation during the press episode is provided in figure B1 and tables B1, B2.
Press Extinctions: Recovery of Functional Activity
We first address the dynamics of total functional activity at each trophic level before and after the press treatments. Clear differences in the recovery of total functional activity are evident between trophic levels, designated L0–L3 (fig. 2A). The two lowest levels, L0 and L1, require, on average, 28,000 and 32,000 updates, respectively, before recovery to preextinction output levels is attained. L2 experiences a much longer delay of about 85,000 updates, on average, before recovery to the immediate preextinction value. The curve for L3, which contains only the difficult function EQU, suggests that recovery for this level is highly heterogeneous between replicates. This heterogeneity is indicated by the shape of the curve, the extremely wide confidence intervals (see fig. B2 for clearer view), and the absence of full recovery, on average, even after 100,000 updates of restored resource inflow. The time required for EQU to reevolve ranges from only a few tens of updates to tens of thousands of updates among the
communities where it did reevolve. These patterns persist even when only those replicates that successfully reevolved EQU are considered (fig. B2), suggesting that even when EQU does reevolve, there is often a failure to reattain preextinction levels of expression in the allotted time. Examining the individual replicates reveals considerable heterogeneity in the results. Figure 2B plots results from a community where the great majority of organisms were specialists on a single resource just before the extinction episode. This community fails to recover its preextinction output levels for EQU, although the function itself does eventually reevolve (but note the considerable gap in time before this happens). The recoveries for trophic levels L0 and L1, by contrast, are very rapid once resources are restored. Further, the total functional activity for these levels at the end of the experiment is nearly four times the immediate preextinction level. This outcome suggests that the performance of the functions on these trophic levels is qualitatively superior to that of the preextinction versions. L2 for this community displays intermediate behavior, with an initial rapid reevolution of functionality and an increase in output followed by a deceleration, so that about 45,000 updates are required before preextinction output levels recover fully. Other characteristic results, for both basic environments and more complex environments, are presented in figures B3 and B6.
Figure 2: Plots of recovery of functional output following press extinctions for trophic levels L0–L3. The Y‐axis is total functional output (in thousands of executions), and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). A, Average of all 100 replicates. Horizontal lines originating at immediate preextinction values indicate approximate times at which functional outputs, on average, reattained their preextinction values where they cross the recovery time series. B, Result from a single‐example replicate where most organisms were single‐resource specialists before the extinction. Trophic levels: L0, green curve; L1, blue curve; L2, purple curve; L3, red curve.
Also observed is a substantial difference in speed between the preextinction increase and the postextinction increase in expression of L2 and L3 functions. Further discussion is provided in appendix D.
Press Extinctions: Recovery of Phenotypic Diversity
Following the press extinctions, the full preextinction phenotypic diversity is not, on average, recovered (fig. C1). This outcome is due largely to the fact that the most complex and difficult functions, XOR and EQU, often not do not reevolve in the allotted time. A slight continuation of the upward trend is, however, apparent toward the end of the experiments, suggesting that full recovery might eventually occur, albeit over a very long period relative to the preextinction diversification. When individual replicates are examined, again considering only the
populations that reevolve EQU, we see diverse outcomes ranging from little recovery even by the end of the experiment (fig. 3A), through both lengthy and short delays with full recovery (fig. 3B, 3C), to rapid and full recovery of phenotypic diversity (fig. 3D). In figure C6, we present results of allowing longer recovery times for replicates that did not recover fully in the main experiments.
Figure 3: Phenotypic recovery versus time in four illustrative press extinction communities. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes, and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). All of these replicates reevolved L3 (EQU) functionality after the press, yet they show a diversity of recovery patterns, ranging from long‐term loss of phenotypic diversity (A), to long and short delays (B, C), to rapid recovery (D).
Pulse Extinctions: Recovery of Functional Activity
Recall that press extinctions involve a prolonged period of an altered environment and a less complex ecosystem, whereas pulse extinctions reflect an instantaneous loss of individuals and diversity but no sustained change in the environment. One might thus expect faster recovery from pulse extinctions than from press extinctions. As summarized in table 1, the recovery times for pulse extinctions tend to be much shorter than for the press extinctions at all trophic levels. On average, the recovery times for total functional activity on the simple L0 and L1 levels require fewer than 8,000 updates, whereas recovery from the press extinctions requires around 30,000 updates for full functional recovery on both these trophic levels (table 1; fig. 4). The recovery of total functional activity at L2 to previous levels required, on average, around 19,950 updates, as compared with more than 85,000 updates for the press extinctions. In contrast to the press extinctions, on the highest and most complex trophic level L3, total functional activity often does, on average, recover to its preextinction level of activity (fig. 4). In part, this faster recovery is because the corresponding EQU expression was often not completely extinguished by the pulse event. When all replicates are considered, recovery of EQU expression takes, on average, 37,050 updates. EQU activity dropped to zero following the pulse in 27 of 100 replicates, and these cases require, on average, 75,800 updates before recovery to preextinction levels (fig. C2).
Figure 4: Plots of recovery of functional output following pulse extinctions for trophic levels L0–L3. Time series are the average of all 100 replicates. Horizontal lines originating at immediate preextinction values indicate approximate times at which functional outputs, on average, reattained their preextinction values where they cross the recovery time series. Axes and colors are as in figure 2.
Variability in the recovery response among postpulse communities is largely confined to L3, the highest trophic level (fig. C3). When the early stages of the recovery are examined more closely, with time suitably rescaled to make the beginning of the recovery 0 for both extinction treatments, the pulse communities undergo a considerably faster rate of increase at all trophic levels than do the press communities (fig. 5A, 5B). The faster recovery in the pulse communities occurs even though these communities have, on average, lower levels of total functional activity for the first few hundred updates immediately after the end of the perturbation. (Fig. 5A, 5B presents only trophic levels L0 and L3; results for L1 and L2 are presented in fig. C4.) The trends are significantly different from each other at all times, except around where the trend lines intersect.
Figure 5: Comparison of both functional recovery (A, B) and phenotypic recovery (C) in press extinction communities versus pulse extinction communities over the first 3,000 updates of recovery. Time has been rescaled so that the beginning of the recovery period is 0 for both extinction treatments. Curves show averages of all 100 replicates. In all panels, the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Solid lines indicate pulse replicates, and dashed lines indicate press replicates. Error series are omitted for clarity. Trends are significantly different at all points, except around where trendlines intersect. A, Trophic level L0. The Y‐axis is functional activity (in thousands of executions). B, Trophic level L3. The Y‐axis is functional activity (in thousands of executions). C, Recovery of phenotypic diversity. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes.
Pulse Extinctions: Recovery of Phenotypic Diversity
Unlike communities recovering from the press extinctions, most pulse communities quickly and fully recover phenotypic diversity comparable to their preextinction diversity, although a few communities are still a bit depressed, again typically on the higher trophic levels (fig. C5). As described above, when time is rescaled to the beginning of the recovery, the pulse communities again show faster recovery of phenotypic diversity than do the press communities, even though the pulse communities begin recovery, on average, with fewer phenotypes than the end‐press communities (fig. 5C). Again, the trends are significantly different from each other at all times, except around where the trend lines intersect.
Discussion
In this study, we use communities of digital organisms to investigate dynamics of recovery from instantaneous pulse extinctions and from low‐resource press extinctions. The digital organisms can evolve to consume and extract energy from supplied resources and make by‐products that themselves serve as resources for other individuals. Extinction is instigated either by a mass culling of the population without any environmental alteration (pulse) or by manipulating the environment and drastically reducing resource availability, leading to evolutionary responses by members of the community (press). An important strength of our system is the ability to repeat replicates exactly up to a particular time point and then subject them to different treatments from that point onward and study the resulting differences.
Functional Recovery
When recovery is gauged by total functional activity on a particular trophic level, we observe that communities recover much faster, on average, from random pulse extinctions than they do from press extinctions. The largest absolute differences are seen at the higher trophic levels, L2 and L3 (figs. 2, 4; table 1). When we consider the relative differences between press recoveries and pulse recoveries, the differences are rather similar across trophic levels (table 1). The lower levels with more easily evolved functions, L0 and L1, have 3.7‐fold and 4.7‐fold longer average recovery times, respectively, from press extinctions than from pulse extinctions, while the corresponding difference for L2 is about 4.7‐fold. We cannot express this same ratio for L3 because, in many populations, its total functional activity still had not recovered to preextinction levels by the end of the experiments.
There are a number of important differences between the pulse extinctions and the press extinctions. Randomly chosen survivors of pulse extinctions are, from an individual standpoint, no better or worse adapted than previously, except for possibly missing other community members on whom they might depend for resources. If more organisms survive, then more of the preextinction ecological fabric will be preserved, thus spurring more rapid recovery. By contrast, the press episode requires the passage of time in order for its effects to become evident, and it provokes an adaptive response in the organisms to the changed environment that affects their recovery ability (app. D). The low‐resource press episode tends to favor organisms with shorter generation times and simplified functionality. Survivors of random pulse extinctions, by contrast, retain their preextinction functionality and generation times. Random pulse extinctions produce great loss of biomass and diversity but often fail to eliminate key taxa or ecological traits and thus have minimal ecological impact (though some exceptions certainly exist in our experiments). Communities subjected to press extinctions, by contrast, experience near‐total ecosystem collapse during the selective extinction episode and are replaced by new communities and ecosystems that evolve during the recovery period (cf. McGhee et al. 2004). Our results therefore indicate that selection favoring organisms with short generation times and associated “deevolution” of their higher trophic functions are major factors delaying recovery from press extinctions. This finding is further reinforced by the slowed recovery observed in additional experiments using preextinction organisms chosen for having short generation times (app. D). Evidently, the press episode damages not only the ecological fabric of the community but also the genetic architectures and functional potential of the surviving digital organisms. As a consequence, recovery from the press extinctions at higher trophic levels is limited both by availability of sufficient resources and by the need to reevolve the functions for using those resources. The latter component typically includes not only the time needed for the lost functions to reevolve but also additional time for quantitative expression of those functions to recover to preextinction levels. Both of these factors can be limited by the genetic backgrounds of the digital organisms.
Diversity Recovery
Diversity‐through‐time studies must accommodate the phenomena of backward and forward “smearing” of recorded organisms, which influence estimated times of originations and extinctions in the fossil record. The studies of Kirchner and Weil (2000a, 2000b) and Kirchner (2002) used the uncorrected fossil database of Sepkoski (1992, 1997, 2002), while Lu et al. (2006) used a database that incorporates corrections for effects of rock volume and preservation potential (Foote 2003). These studies accounted for smearing effects in different ways, using different assumptions, and reached differing conclusions regarding the biological basis of lags in recovery. Kirchner and Weil (2000b) and Kirchner (2002) infer “niche construction” (Odling‐Smee et al. 2003) to explain their findings: the rate of recovery is limited by the efficacy of diversification mechanisms and the availability of opportunities following the ecological breakdown caused by the mass extinction. Lu et al. (2006) instead attribute the appearance of delayed recoveries to low preservation potential during the early stages of recovery periods, claiming that extinction‐causing crises also disrupt geological processes that lead to fossil formation. They conclude that diversification commences soon after extinction‐causing perturbations have subsided and that originations are usually rapid and even pulselike (in geological time). They suggest that better‐preserved geological sections from progressively later times following the extinction, which contain more fossil taxa, lead to inference of delayed episodes of diversification (and thus recovery). In their view, most recoveries from mass extinctions occur without prolonged delays (the early Triassic being a notable exception). Another analysis of marine fossil organism databases suggests that pulsed episodes are supported more strongly for extinction of existing genera than for origination of new genera; mass‐extinction episodes are more likely to be clustered in geological time than are episodes of origination, which may be more spread out through succeeding stages (Foote 2005). Important questions remain as to the best methods to correct for preservation biases because sequence‐stratigraphic architecture can exert strong effects on fossil occurrence times and influence the resulting interpretations of paleontological data (Holland 1995, 2000; Holland and Patzkowsky 2002; Kidwell and Holland 2002). In our study, we are able to investigate both ecosystem function and phenotypic diversity unobscured by preservation biases. We present a rough simulation of incomplete preservation applied to our data in appendix E.
The metric of phenotypic diversity we use reflects the number of distinct binary functional combinations present in the population at a given time. Evolution of new functions leads to expansion of ecological diversity by exploiting a previously unused resource and/or production of new resources. It also increases the number of realized functional combinations and the possible “niches” that may be accessible. Measuring diversity this way, we observe that phenotypic extinction is indeed most pronounced during the press episode, and we obtain a variety of possible outcomes for recovery. These range from very rapid recovery of phenotypic diversity to the community settling into a state of lower phenotypic diversity over the long term, even when all functional activities fully reevolve (fig. 3). Thus, rapid recovery following extinction represents only one of a number of possible outcomes in our system, though it may occur frequently in both digital worlds and biological worlds. Previous modeling studies (Sepkoski 1978, 1979, 1984) also feature rapid radiations as regular features of diversification following low‐diversity episodes. (Additional notes on rapid recovery are given in app. D.)
However, other outcomes for recovery of diversity (fig. 3A–3C) are certainly evident and support the view of Kirchner and Weil (2000a, 2000b) and Kirchner (2002) that recovery from extinction may depend on the effectiveness of mechanisms of diversification. A large quantity of resource may be available for exploitation but may go unused if no organism evolves the function necessary to access it. Conversely, an organism may evolve a potentially beneficial function from which it derives no benefit because the associated resource is either not present or too rare to be exploited effectively, and so the organism will fail to persist. Further, if the genetic and functional potential in a community decays sufficiently, as often occurs during prolonged press extinctions, it then becomes much more difficult to rebuild the highest‐level trophic functions. Thus, we see compelling evidence of the interaction between genetic factors, which are internal to the organisms, and the nature of the environmental perturbation leading to the extinction, which together influence the ecological and evolutionary dynamics of the recovery from a mass extinction in these digital communities.
Parallels and Contrasts with Paleontology: Extinction
Our results have clear and interesting parallels with data from the paleontological record where both extinction and recovery are concerned.
Extinction selectivity. Although often anecdotal, numerous studies have reported disproportionate extinction of larger‐sized and/or more morphologically complex forms (Russell 1977; Fischer 1981; Jablonski 1986, 1996; LaBarbera 1986). For example, larger planktonic foraminifera with complex architectures disappeared at both the Permian‐Triassic boundary (Stanley and Yang 1994; Ross and Ross 1995) and the Cretaceous‐Tertiary boundary (Norris 1991; Arnold et al. 1995), leaving smaller, morphologically simplified survivors. Sutural complexity of ammonoid shells was also “reset” following each major extinction (Saunders et al. 1999). Size reduction in particular has been termed the “Lilliput effect” (Urbanek 1993) and has been observed after the major extinctions (Twitchett 2001, 2006). While digital organisms lack morphology per se, they possess other phenotypic traits (such as genome size, generation time, and functional complexity) that permit observation and quantification of the evolution of simpler phenotypes. The dominant organisms observed at the end of press episodes are rapidly replicating and functionally simplified, broadly analogous to Lilliput organisms. In the Avida system, these kinds of organisms would normally be inferior competitors during background times, and so they may also be considered analogous to “disaster taxa” that proliferate opportunistically during (and in the immediate aftermath of) biotic crises (Schubert and Bottjer 1992; Looy et al. 1999), though not all real examples of disaster taxa are also Lilliput organisms. Further, real organisms have many other physiological traits that would influence their sensitivity to extinction‐driving conditions (Bambach et al. 2002), such as sensitivity to elevated CO2 (Knoll et al. 2007). Most of these would not apply to the digital organisms, though future work should elucidate what factors help digital organisms either resist and/or rapidly adapt to press episodes of the type used here.
Removal of incumbent taxa. Mass extinctions are perhaps most notable for removal of dominant taxa in particular ecological roles, which are later filled by descendants of extinction survivors that diversify to assume those roles (Jablonski 2005). With respect to top consumption in our experiments (represented here by the function EQU), it is often the case that organisms that assume that role following the press extinctions are not descendants of the preextinction incumbent group(s). These often become completely extinct or leave degenerate survivors that do not reoccupy the ancestral niche (Yedid et al. 2008). The rapid recovery of functional activity evident in most of the pulse extinction experiments suggests that the survivors are members of preextinction incumbent groups; pulse‐type populations seeded with nonincumbents have a recovery response more similar to that of the press extinctions (app. D). With very few exceptions, the highly selective press episode leaves practically no surviving, phenotypically unaltered incumbents.
Parallels and Contrasts with Paleontology: Diversification and Recovery
We also find a number of parallels in our experiments for paleontological observations of diversification and recovery.
Delayed ecological recovery on higher trophic levels. Our results for delayed recovery of ecological activity at higher trophic levels are broadly analogous with the findings of a study using carbon isotopic flux data to infer recovery. Marine productivity recovered quickly after the Cretaceous‐Tertiary mass extinction, whereas many species on higher trophic levels (ranging from zooplankton to marine megafauna) became extinct (D’Hondt et al. 1998). However, the ecosystem as a whole took considerably longer to recover because many megafauna required replacement through adaptive radiation from terrestrial stocks. Our results for both pulse extinctions and press extinctions also display rapid recovery of productivity and longer delays on higher trophic levels. Because restoration of resources in our experiments is sudden, at least some of the delay in recovery can be explained by “readaptation” at the organismal and individual levels, effectiveness of diversification, and internal community dynamics. While these factors almost certainly operate for recoveries of real ecosystems, some delays in recovery (both ecological and taxonomic) may be caused by continued environmental perturbation after the main extinction (Pruss et al. 2006; Knoll et al. 2007; Sahney and Benton 2008). In our digital system, neither ecological nor phenotypic recovery occurs if the press episode is made permanent, and recovery may be delayed further if restoration is graded rather than sudden (app. E).
Missing phenotypes and incomplete ecosystems. Related to the previous point, a component of delayed recoveries is certain niches going unexploited for considerable lengths of time. Among terrestrial tetrapods, following the end‐Permian extinction, certain ecological guilds (including small insectivores, small piscivores, large herbivores, and top predators) had failed to reappear after approximately 15 million years of recovery, even though most ecosystem functions had been restored by this point (Benton et al. 2004). A similar gap is reported for the earlier end‐Guadalupian extinction (Sahney and Benton 2008). Our results demonstrating long delay in reevolution of function on higher trophic levels (particularly the difficult functions XOR and EQU) and the resulting incomplete communities are roughly comparable with such paleontological findings.
Relative durations of recovery. In our experiments, the pulse extinctions generally had much shorter recovery time than did the press extinctions for both functional expression (figs. 2, 4; table 1) and phenotypic diversity (fig. 5C). The pulse extinction recoveries tend to resemble extinction episodes such as the end‐Ordovician, end‐Triassic, and Cenomanian‐Turonian, where major biotic elements and guilds were less affected and communities reassembled relatively rapidly. The more extended recoveries seen in press extinctions, on the other hand, resemble those of the more ecologically disruptive end‐Permian and end‐Cretaceous extinctions, which produced more extensive restructuring of biotic communities (Erwin 1998b; McGhee et al. 2004). The end‐Cretaceous extinction is often cited as the canonical example of a pulse extinction (e.g., D’Hondt et al. 1998), and the end‐Permian extinction has been interpreted by some authors as an abrupt, single‐phase event (Jin et al. 2000; Rampino et al. 2000; Twitchett et al. 2001; but see Yin et al. 2007 for a contrary view). Here, we emphasize the severity of the disruption and selectivity during the extinction episode that later led to delayed recovery.
“Exuberant” diversification episodes. During early preextinction evolution, phenotypic diversity “overshoots” and then declines to an equilibrium value (fig. 3). This phenomenon occurs occasionally in postextinction recovery, such as in figure 3B. Some paleontologists may compare this “exploratory” phase (fig. 3) with the many bizarre organisms of the Cambrian explosion that left no descendants in later geological eras (Gould 1989). Perhaps a more modest comparison is with the early Triassic recovery of terrestrial tetrapods, where many new genera appear rapidly (in geological time) following the end‐Permian extinction, though mature communities and ecosystems emerge only later (Botha and Smith 2006; Roopnarine et al. 2007). This is an interesting avenue for future work in general because some authors report more subdued diversification in the early Triassic, compared with earlier diversification episodes in the early Cambrian and Ordovician (Erwin et al. 1987; Foote 1996, 1999)
We did not investigate this phenomenon deeply, but it may indicate that the default seed ancestor and its early descendants have an evolutionary flexibility that is not retained by most postextinction organisms. This flexibility may be expressed by (1) early, rapid diversification into a large number of phenotypic groupings, many of which are present in small numbers but do not survive over the long term, and (2) relative ease in evolving complex functions due to lack of inhibiting epistatic effects that accumulate over time. These results could be tested further, using alternative ancestors (evolved base replicators or randomly assembled replicators).
New “stable states.” More intriguing, perhaps, is the community from figure 3A, which failed to recover to preextinction levels of phenotypic diversity despite having evolved all functions. The failure of at least one community to recover preextinction phenotypic diversity even with reevolution of all functions may indicate that some communities may settle into alternative “stable states” following a mass extinction. Such a shift toward a new taxonomic and ecological balance seems to have occurred for marine communities as a result of the end‐Permian extinction, where communities dominated by sessile suspension feeders were replaced by more mobile and infaunal taxa in the Triassic (Wagner et al. 2006). Metazoan‐based reefs were largely wiped out by the end‐Permian extinction, and the succeeding microbial reefs remained dominant until the mid‐Triassic (Pruss and Bottjer 2005). The highly destructive press extinctions in particular seem more likely to provoke exactly the sort of community restructuring that would result in alternative stable states, and this is certainly one of the more interesting avenues for future work with digital organisms.
Concluding Remarks
While digital organisms and the communities they form lack many intricacies of real‐world analogues, our results bear a number of similarities to what is known from previous mass extinctions and recoveries. We believe this demonstrates that digital evolution experiments can yield insight into problems in paleobiology and paleoecology that would not be amenable to other experimental approaches, and we have suggested several promising avenues for future research. One must be cautious in extending such results to the organic world, but a key implication of this study is that full recovery from a biotic crisis may be hampered by adaptation of the survivors to the transiently impoverished conditions. It is becoming accepted that we are in the midst of another mass extinction, this one anthropogenically driven (McKinney 1997; Myers and Knoll 2001; Bottjer and Gall 2005). Both examining past extinction/recovery episodes and modeling extinction and recovery as general phenomena can shed light on what may yet occur. If so, our results have bearing on potential future trends in ecology and biological diversity. Human activities constitute a continued environmental stress that removes certain taxa yet promotes survival of others. If, in the near future, the world comes to be dominated by taxa that not only survive in the conditions created by human activity but also are well‐adapted to and thrive in them, then recovery of the biosphere to a state comparable with even preindustrial conditions may occur on a timescale measured in many thousands of human generations.
Acknowledgments
We thank S. Finnegan and one anonymous reviewer for comments and feedback. This work was supported by research grants to G.Y. from the Fonds Québécois de recherche sur la nature et les technologies (provincial government of Quebec, Canada) and the Michigan State University Quantitative Biological Modeling Initiative. Further support came through grants to R.E.L. and C.A.O. from the National Science Foundation. G.Y. received additional funding from a Chinese Academy of Sciences Research Fellowship for Young Foreign Researchers and from the Innovation Project for Young Researchers of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (0650290120).
Appendix A (PDF version, 77kB)
General Execution and Logic Operations in Avida, Details of Environmental Configuration, and Comparison with Previous Models
Avida maintains and monitors populations of digital organisms, which are short, self‐replicating computer programs written in an assembly‐type language. (Any program that can be written with conventional, commercial computer assembly languages can also be written with this language.) The organisms execute the programs encoded by their genomes, including commands that allow them to copy the instructions in their genomes and divide to produce a daughter organism. The copy instruction duplicates a single instruction from parent to daughter. During the duplication process, the instruction being copied has a probability of being miscopied and changed to a different instruction from the one in the parent organism’s genome. Mutations from one instruction to any other in the instruction set are equally likely. In addition, there is a probability that, on cell division, a random instruction will be inserted into or deleted from the daughter cell. These kinds of genomic mutations can indirectly affect the phenotype of a digital organism, including its ability to self‐replicate or perform other computational functions. Mutations can also be neutral in their phenotypic effects. Thus, there is a genetic basis for adaptation and speciation (insofar as that can be defined for asexual organisms, not just in Avida but for real biological asexuals). Because the range of variation possible in Avida organisms is indefinite (certainly astronomically large), the system is capable of open‐ended evolution. The organisms in this study are completely asexual, but the focus here is on radiation into groupings that are functionally and phylogenetically distinct, followed by loss and regeneration of those groupings. These processes are relevant to both sexual organisms and asexual organisms.
Each digital organism occupies a cell in a rectangular memory lattice, the size of which sets the maximum population size. When an organism divides, the daughter organism is placed in one of the eight immediately neighboring cells, killing any previous occupant of that cell. Organisms that replicate faster have a selective advantage and can more quickly overwrite slower replicators. In Avida, organisms can accelerate the execution of their genomic instructions if they evolve the ability to perform certain logic functions (Lenski et al. 2003). All organisms receive a basal number of CPU cycles (the organisms’ “energy”), which enables their programs to run. If an organism can perform one or more logic functions, it metabolizes a corresponding resource into additional CPU cycles that accelerate the execution of its genome. This creates differences in the rates at which organisms execute their genomes, depending on which functions they perform and which resources can be accessed for additional energy. The values of the energy rewards an organism receives for performing certain computations and consuming certain resources can be set by the experimenter.
Logic Operations in Avida
When a digital organism in Avida performs one of nine basic logic operations on one or two random 32‐bit strings and then outputs the bitwise‐correct result, it obtains additional energy (in the form of additional CPU cycles) that accelerates the execution of the instructions in its genome. The energy obtained for correctly performing these logic functions is added to basal energy (which is the same for all organisms) and determines the relative speed with which each organism can replicate its genome.
The logic rules for these nine basic operations are as follows:
| Input | Logic operation | |||||||||
| A | B | NOT | NAND | AND | ORN | OR | ANDN | NOR | XOR | EQU |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
For example, if bit
and bit
, then (A EQU B) = 1. These rules are defined on single‐bit inputs. In order for an organism to be rewarded for performing an operation, it must perform that operation correctly on all 32 bits of the input strings. The NOT operation is performed with only one input string.
Consider an organism that obtains the following two inputs and then executes a series of instructions that results in the following output string:
Input A: 010101011100000000111010101100
Input B: 100001101010001111010110011110
Output: 001011001001110000010011001101
The organism would receive the energy reward for performing the EQU operation because it correctly calculated the EQU function for all 32 pairs of the corresponding bits for inputs A and B and output the correct result.
In spite of the fact that Avida communities are instantiations of Darwinian evolution, metabolism of resources is simulated in Avida because many of its features either are abstract simplifications of or do not correspond directly to real‐world biochemical metabolisms. The internal movement and manipulation of numbers between various components of the virtual CPUs (stacks, registers, etc.), however, instantiate what is arguably the computational analogue of metabolism: the numbers are analogous to substrates and the CPU components to enzymes that modify those substrates without themselves being altered. In the cross‐feeding trophic network used for these experiments (see fig. 1), successful execution of a logic operation results in consumption of the resource linked to that operation, receipt of the energetic reward (additional CPU cycles) associated with it, and production of a designated resource (possibly more than one) mapped to another operation on the next higher trophic level. In practice, the quantities of produced resources (which are available to all organisms anywhere in the population) are incremented by the Avida software on successful completion of the resource‐producing operation and are decremented by the activity of any organisms able to consume those resources (by performing the appropriate operations).
Details of Environmental Configuration
All experiments are performed using Avida, version 2.1, executed on a Beowulf cluster made up of Intel Pentium III and IV processors and AMD Athlon processors. The Avida distribution and configuration files are available at http://myxo.css.msu.edu/papers/yedidAmNat2008.
Each replicate is seeded with a single copy of a handwritten “default” Avida ancestor, of genome length 50 instructions. This ancestor has no inherent functionality beyond the ability to self‐replicate and thus no history of previous functionality. The initial conditions for each replicate differ only in the value of the seed supplied to Avida’s random‐number generator. All organisms are asexual; recombination does not occur. All replicates are performed with populations of maximum size
. An organism can die either when it is replaced by newborn individuals or when its total instructions executed exceed 20 times its genome length (this prevents nonreproductive organisms from persisting indefinitely). The copy mutation rate is set at 0.005 per instruction copied; insertion/deletion mutations occur at a rate of 0.05 per division. Genome size is not constrained in these experiments: though organisms may allocate only as much memory for offspring as their own genome size, size change can occur in small increments through insertion/deletion mutations applied on division, avoiding large jumps in genome size change (Misevic et al. 2006). Newborn organisms replace randomly chosen organisms in their immediate eight‐cell neighborhood, giving rise to spatially structured populations. Logic operations that are rewarded are those described by Lenski et al. (2003), with rewards scaled as a function of computational difficulty as described by Cooper and Ofria (2002) and Chow et al. (2004). Resources are globally available to all organisms, with no spatial structure. Only resources corresponding to the functions NOT and NAND are provided exogenously, at inflow rates of 200 units/update for each resource, following Cooper and Ofria (2002). There is an additional “infinite” resource supplied to all organisms, which supplies basal energy and is necessary for any execution to occur at all. All other resources arise as by‐products of function execution, according to the stoichiometric scheme shown in figure 1. Organisms can obtain a maximum of 25 units of resource or 0.25% of the total concentration (whichever is smaller) per completed computation; the latter condition prevents negative values arising from finite time steps.
The digital organisms used here are completely asexual. While introducing recombination into digital organisms is known to affect their genetic architecture and ability to adapt to rapidly changing environments (Misevic 2006; Misevic et al. 2006), we do not investigate effects of recombination here. We acknowledge that it could have substantial effects on the speed at which logic functions are (re)evolved, given the larger potential for novel genetic combinations beyond those accessible through asexual reproduction. We prefer instead first to understand the dynamics for the simpler asexual system before considering the more complex reticulate dynamics of a sexual system. Also, many of the key analytical tools that have been developed for Avida are implemented only for asexual organisms. For example, tracing lines of descent is straightforward for asexual organisms but not even applicable to sexual ones.
Comparisons with Previous Models
Our results showing delays in recovery are comparable to the lags at higher trophic levels seen in the models of Solé et al. (2002). Both Solé et al. and Amaral and Meyer (1999) modeled recovery of species diversity per se rather than ecosystem function, and so they define species rigorously. This feature permits closer emulation of data from paleontological diversity‐through‐time studies. However, their evolutionary models lacked the explicit population dynamics present in our model system. In Solé et al.'s (2002) model, the strength of links between species on different trophic levels is fixed for the lifetime of each species, and those species are simply present or absent. In our system, the strength of ecological links in our system depends on both the per capita expression of particular functions and the total number of individual organisms expressing those functions. Moreover, both quantities can fluctuate considerably over time, owing to demographic and evolutionary processes. Our pulse extinction model is more comparable to their method of targeted removal of primary producers, though our method removes any individual in a population, regardless of trophic level. While we did not specifically investigate recovery time as a function of extinction size, our finding of much more rapid recovery compared with the press extinctions (see “Results”) makes it unlikely that less severe pulse extinctions would have much effect on the recovery time (if only to make them yet shorter). Further, extinctions in the Amaral‐Meyer/Solé models do not include any adaptive component, in contrast to the press extinctions in this study. Our results are attributable to both adaptive effects at the individual level and rebuilding of ecological links and structure at the community level.
Literature Cited Only in Appendix A
- Misevic, D. 2006. Digital sex: causes and consequences of recombination. PhD diss. Department of Zoology, Michigan State University, East Lansing.
Appendix B (PDF version, 9127kB)
Additional Functional Activity Results, Control Experiments, and Large‐World Experiments
Functional Degradation during Press Episode
The press period often results in functional degradation of most of the organisms in the population, which is more pronounced on higher trophic levels. Figure B1 shows the percentage of replicate populations containing any organisms that can perform the trophic functions at particular time points. The simple functions NOT and NAND tend to be robust through the press episode or are lost only transiently and reevolve quickly. These two functions are present in all 100 replicate populations just before the extinction episode (fig. B1A). At the end of the extinction episode, NOT is performed in all populations and NAND in 99 of 100 populations (fig. B1B). The level 2 functions ORN and OR also evolve before the extinction episode in all replicates and are present at the end of the extinction episode in 92 of 100 populations and in 61 of 100 populations, respectively (fig. B1A, B1B). More difficult functions (including the low‐value function AND) are present in fewer than half the populations at the end of the extinction episode. The most difficult functions, XOR and EQU, evolve in 88 of 100 populations and in 87 of 100 populations, respectively, before the onset of extinction. Of these, only 9 of 88 populations (for XOR) and only 8 of 87 populations (for EQU) retain these functions through the extinction episode (fig. B1B). At the end of recovery, all replicate populations have recovered 7 of 9 functions. However, only 61% and 64% of the replicates have organisms that perform XOR and EQU, respectively, compared with 88% and 87% of replicates before extinction (fig. B1C).
Functional Simplification of Organisms during Press Episode
We provide additional data demonstrating the kinds of changes that occur in the digital organisms that make up the communities. These data complement the bar graphs shown in figure B1; they demonstrate not only that functional expression falls off in a presence/absence manner per replicate but also that the average number of function executions per organism, as well as the average number of functions expressed per organism, also declines during the press episode. Raw data for the summary tables shown in tables B1 and B2 are available at http://myxo.css.msu.edu/papers/yedidAmNat2008.
Average Executions per Organism
The average executions per organism are determined by the total times a given trophic function is executed, divided by the total number of organisms expressing that function. Table B1 shows that the average number of times a trophic function is executed per organism declines sharply during the press episode. The summary means for ANDN, NOR, XOR, and EQU are nonzero due to populations that retained these functions during the press episode (see fig. B1). All differences between preextinction and end‐press means are statistically significant.
Average Number of Functions per Organism
In addition to executing the functions less often on a per capita basis, organisms from the end of the press episode also tend to express fewer functions per organism compared with their preextinction predecessors. For these measurements, we counted self‐replication as a function, and the number of functions expressed per organism were weighted by the number of individuals of a given genotype (e.g., if seven organisms of genotype X express NOT and ORN, then NOT and ORN are each counted seven times for that genotype, for a weighted count of
). Averaging was over the total number of viable individuals, not over the number of genotypes. Summary statistics are shown in table B2. Before the press episode, organisms express, averaged across all populations,
(2 SE) functions per organism. By the end of the press episode, the number of functions expressed per organism has declined to
(2 SE), and this difference is statistically significant (paired
,
; two‐tailed
). Because we counted self‐replication as a function here, this value reflects the fact that most organisms present at the end of the press episode are base replicators, expressing no other functions that would contribute toward building an ecology.
Additional Individual Results for Recovery of Total Functional Activity
In addition to the results shown in figure 2B, other outcomes we observed in individual replicates include (but are not limited to) the following: (i) Behavior similar to that described for figure 2B but in communities where most organisms are nonspecialists before the press (fig. B2A). All functional output levels are roughly similar, and the press was a transient perturbation; community performance rapidly resumes its upward shape for L0 and L1 but with noticeably longer recovery times for L2 and L3. In contrast to the example in figure 2B, L3 does recover its previous level of functional output in this community. (ii) Communities where none of the trophic levels (except maybe L0) fully recover their previous functional output levels in the allotted time (fig. B2B). (iii) Communities that show longer delays at lower trophic levels before recovery to preextinction levels of functional output. Recovery on higher trophic levels, however, is relatively more rapid (fig. B2C).
We should note that in these plots, levels of expression usually do not come to any equilibrium. In these experiments, genomes can grow or shrink over time. In order to prevent persistent reductive evolution (Yedid and Bell 2001, 2002) and loss of genomic complexity, genomes are rewarded in proportion to their length, which avoids rewarding minimal replicators with little or no ecological functionality. Because increased functional output (which confers fitness) is linked to greater genome length, total output levels tend to increase over time along with length. There is evidently considerable room for gradual fitness improvement (which further draws down available resources) even after all functions evolve. Even with this size‐bias mechanism in place, we obtain, in
replicates, a number of organisms in the preextinction communities that do not feature an appreciable increase or decrease in length (±5 instructions) over the ancestral organism, even though other organisms in those same communities have grown considerably over the ancestral length; short and long genomes coexist in the same populations.
Extinction‐Free Control Experiments
There is a general tendency toward improvement in functional output over time scales that exceed the pre‐ and postextinction periods in these experiments. As shown in figure B4, control populations that are not subject to extinction continue to show increasing levels of functionality during the second 100,000‐update period on all four trophic levels. Output levels may yet stabilize if the experiments are run for much longer times.
Large‐World Experiments
These supplementary experiments examine the effect of increasing the size and environmental complexity of ecosystems on the general results obtained in the main experiments. A schematic of the environmental setup is shown in figure B5. The supply rates of inflowing resources are adjusted to scale with the larger population size, although mutation rates and the absolute time courses of the experiments remain the same. We cannot perform many such experiments, owing to the much longer computation time and much larger usage of computer resources they require. Despite the larger population size and greater environmental complexity, the “large‐world” experiments exhibit the same kinds of heterogeneity in recovery dynamics. Results for two example large‐world communities are displayed in figure B6.
Figure B1: Plots of percentage of replicate populations expressing a given trophic function at particular time points of interest. Bars are color coded according to the trophic level of the listed functions: green, L0; blue, L1; purple, L2; red, L3. A, Immediately before extinction episode (∼100,000 updates). B, At end of press episode (∼105,000 updates). C, At end of recovery period (205,000 updates).
Figure B2: Additional results for recovery of total functional activity on top trophic level (L3) in press extinction experiments. Plots show detail of functional recovery on L3 in press extinction experiments. The curve is the average time series only for the 52/100 replicates where EQU reevolved following its loss during a press extinction. Axes as in figure 2. Even with the more restricted sample, the result suggests frequent failure to reattain preextinction levels of expression in the allotted time.
Figure B3: Examples showing heterogeneous recovery dynamics in three press extinction replicates. In all plots, the Y‐axis is total functional output (in thousands of executions), and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Color coding for trophic levels is the same as in figure 2. A–C, Example outcomes from three standard experiments.
Figure B4: Dynamics of evolving functional output in control experiments with no extinction treatment. Axes and color coding as in figure 2.
Figure B5: Environment used for subsidiary “large‐world” experiments. Example links are shown for clarity; all functions on levels L1, L2, and L3 have a link with all functions on the level immediately below. In this example, nine units of the resources for ECHO are required to produce one unit for each of the functions on level L1.
Figure B6: Examples of ecological recovery dynamics in two subsidiary “large‐world” experiments. In all plots, the Y‐axis is total functional output (in thousands of executions), and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Color coding for trophic levels is the same as in figure 2. Only two trophic levels are shown per panel due to large scaling differences between trophic levels in this experiment. A and B are from one experiment, and C and D are from a second. A, L0 and L1, community 1. B, L2 and L3, community 1. C, L0 and L1, community 2. D, L2 and L3, community 2.
Appendix C (PDF version, 6090kB)
Additional Results for Recovery of Phenotypic Diversity, Recovery in Pulse Extinction Communities, and Additional Recovery Time
Extended Recovery Time for Replicates That Had Not Recovered by the End of the Main Experiments
In
replicates subjected to press extinctions, full recovery had not occurred by the end of the recovery period. Most of these populations had not reevolved the difficult functions XOR and EQU (either one or both). We reran these experiments, extending recovery time for an additional 200,000 updates, for a total experiment length of 405,000 updates. Of these 26 replicates, 15 still failed to recover full functionality with the additional recovery time and remained depressed in terms of phenotypic diversity. Ten replicates reevolved the XOR and EQU functions in the additional time, and one reevolved EQU but not XOR. Perhaps the other replicates could still recover given yet more time, but evidently organisms from those communities appear to have great difficulty evolving those functions. Among the replicates that did recover, a diversity of recovery patterns for phenotypic diversity is evident, as with the main experiments.
Figure C1: Phenotypic diversity versus time, averaged over all 100 press extinction replicates. The Y‐axis is total number of phenotypes, and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Error series are 2 SE (approximate 95% confidence intervals).
Figure C2: Averaged results for functional recovery in pulse extinction communities where EQU became extinct and reevolved. Plot shows functional recovery for trophic level L3. Data are averaged over only those 27 replicates in which the function EQU was lost and reevolved. Horizontal lines originating at preextinction values indicate approximate times at which functional outputs, on average, reattained their prepulse values. Error series are 2 SE. Axes as in figure 2.
Figure C3: Examples of functional recovery dynamics at trophic level L3 in two representative pulse extinction communities. The Y‐axis is L3 functional output (in thousands of executions), and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates).
Figure C4: Comparison of functional recovery in press extinction communities versus pulse extinction communities over the first 5,000 updates of recovery. Time has been rescaled so that the beginning of the recovery period is 0 for both extinction treatments. Curves show average of all 100 replicates. A shows results for L1, and B shows results for L2. Solid curves represent pulse communities, and dashed curves represent press communities. Error series omitted for clarity. Curves are significantly different at all points, except around where lines intersect.
Figure C5: Phenotypic diversity versus time, averaged over all 100 pulse extinction communities. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes, and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Error series are 2 SE (approximate 95% confidence intervals).
Figure C6: Plots of phenotypic diversity versus time in four representative press extinction experiments with extended recovery time. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes, and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). The data series runs from 90,000 to 405,000 updates. A, Continued depression of phenotypic diversity even with reevolution of all functions (cf. fig. 3A). B, Stepwise recovery to preextinction levels of phenotypic diversity. C, Extended delay in recovery to preextinction phenotypic diversity levels (cf. fig. 3B). D, Oscillating dynamic following reevolution of higher‐level trophic functions. This kind of pattern was not observed in any of the main experiments where phenotypic diversity recovered in the regular recovery period.
Appendix D (PDF version, 1338kB)
Response of Generation Time, Correspondence between Generational and Absolute Time, and Effects of Density and Survivor Composition on Recovery
We further examine the behavior of the average generation time (the total number of instructions required for an organism to execute its entire code and thereby replicate itself) for the press and pulse extinctions, which helps verify and characterize the adaptive response of organisms during the press episode. We expect that the low‐resource press episode will favor organisms with shorter generation times because they can make the most efficient use of scarce resources. The response to the pulse extinctions should be more heterogeneous because the organisms picked for survival might have generation times anywhere around the preextinction community average.
Effect of Density and Community Composition on Recovery
In Avida, because of the basal CPU cycles given to all individuals, organisms can persist without being rewarded for any trophic functions tied to resources, although with a very low rate of replication. Minimal replicators become common during the press episode because metabolically complex organisms waste energy by performing futile yet costly functions when resources are largely unavailable. Thus, at the end of the press episode, populations are still nearly full but mostly with organisms well adapted to low‐resource conditions. By contrast, survivors of pulse extinctions are free to expand into a nearly empty ecosystem with greatly reduced competitive pressures. We thus perform the following additional experiments in order to assess the effects of density and composition of the survivor community on dynamics of functional recovery.
To examine the effect of low density per se on the differences in recovery following pulse and press extinctions, we select (at random) a subset of 50 replicates, taking from each one only the stably coexisting organisms from the end‐press community. We then inoculate a single individual of each organism into an empty grid, with mutation rates and resource inflows the same as during the preextinction period but with no accumulated standing resources. The objective is to determine how recovery time is influenced by seeding a low‐density environment with these products of press‐imposed selection. We then repeat these procedures but instead seed communities with the organisms known to have survived the pulse extinctions.
Given the effect on generation time during the press episode (see “Results”), we then examine how recovery is influenced by introducing a similar bias into a postpulse community. The objective here is to determine whether observed effects on generation times and recovery speed result from a simple sorting of preextinction diversity or whether further adaptation during the press episode also contributes to delayed recovery. From each of the same 50 replicates, we select the four organisms with the shortest generation times from the preextinction community and use them to inoculate a new experiment, as above.
Average Generation Time in Press versus Pulse
Recall our expectation that the low‐resource press treatment would favor organisms with shorter generation times, able to make efficient use of scarce resources, and with little or no investment in code for performing costly metabolic functions that would be futile during the press episode. We observe a consistent trend toward organisms with shorter generation times in the press experiments, with a subsequent rebound following restoration of resource inflows. The preextinction average generation time is 1,356 instructions executed per replication, while that for the end of the press episode is 281.84 instructions executed per replication (paired
,
; one‐tailed
). In contrast, the pulse extinction experiments show no consistent response, as expected given random culling (paired
,
; two‐tailed
). Press extinction communities recover to a lower average final generation time than do pulse extinction communities (1,640.22 for press, 1,802.89 for pulse; paired
,
; two‐tailed
).
Correspondence between Avida Updates and Generations Elapsed
The number of generations that elapse during a given period of absolute Avida time can be highly variable between populations, depending on the nature of the organisms that evolve (slowly replicating vs. rapidly replicating and the relative proportions of these in the population). Avida reports generations elapsed averaged over the population at any given time. Table D1 presents summary results; raw data for all 100 replicate populations are available at http://myxo.css.msu.edu/papers/YedidAmNat2008.
In our experiments, the 100,000 updates of preextinction evolution corresponded to between 3,460 and 7,412 generations, with an average of
(2 SE). This corresponds to roughly
(2 SE) generations per update. The 5,000 updates of the press episode were extremely variable, corresponding to between 62 and 1,934 generations, with an average of
(2 SE). This is roughly
(2 SE) generations per update. Expressed as a percentage of preextinction generations, the generations elapsed during the press episode are, on average,
(2 SE) of the preextinction generations. Thus, while the press episode is only 5% of the preextinction time when measured in absolute time, it is, on average, longer when measured in population‐averaged generations. The acceleration in generations per absolute time reflects the fact that the press conditions favor rapidly replicating organisms that turn over faster per unit of absolute time compared with most of the preextinction period. We do not mean to suggest that the extremes seen here are representative of the real world; real mass extinctions almost certainly leave survivors with greater between‐species heterogeneity of generation times. We also point out that durations of real biotic crises are conventionally measured using the geological time scale, which is independent of the generation times of the organisms affected.
Effect of Density and Community Composition on Recovery
Recall that the objective of these additional experiments is to examine the effect on functional recovery when all communities begin at low density, as do communities recovering from a severe pulse extinction but that differ in the specific composition of the survivors. For all four trophic levels, the initial rate of recovery of total functional activity is slower for communities seeded with organisms from the end of the press episode (fig. D2, dashed curves) compared with communities seeded with the pulse extinction survivors (fig. D2, solid curves). For levels L0, L1, and L3, the pulse trend becomes significantly different from the others after about 1,250 updates, while for L2, it is significantly different after about 1,150 updates. This result demonstrates that important changes evolve during the press episode, impeding rapid reevolution of the trophic functions to their preextinction activity levels.
The results of the third set of tests, using preextinction organisms with the shortest generation times, are shown in the dot‐dashed curves in figure D2; for trophic level L3, only those replicates where the EQU function actually reevolves are averaged and plotted. The initial recovery at levels L0 and L1 appears similar to the pulse recovery but then decelerates and converges on the trajectory of recovery for communities seeded with organisms from the end of the press episode, such that after about 1,500 updates, there is no significant difference (fig. D2A, D2B). The recovery of L2 output falls almost exactly between the pulse‐seeded recoveries and the end‐press‐seeded recoveries; the end‐press and short‐generation curves are significantly different after 250 updates (fig. D2C). There is no statistically discernible difference at any time between the shortest‐generation‐seeded recoveries and the end‐press‐seeded recoveries on L3 (fig. D2D). However, the sample sizes are smaller than for the experiments seeded with pulse survivors (only experiments where EQU reevolved are plotted;
for end‐press,
for short‐generation), and the small difference that is evident is driven by a few replicates. These results further indicate that a substantial contribution to the slower recovery seen in the press extinction experiments results from these communities having evolved organisms with short generation times and lacking much of the genomic machinery needed to rapidly reevolve high‐trophic‐level functions.
Recovery of phenotypic diversity is shown in figure D3. Qualitatively, the comparison between the pulse survivor recovery and the end‐press organism recovery is comparable to that shown in figure 4C. Despite having an early advantage, the end‐press organism recoveries are, on average, overtaken by the pulse survivor recoveries within the first thousand updates, but it is not until around 2,100 updates that the difference is statistically significant. Surprisingly, the fastest recovery in phenotypic diversity is shown by the preextinction short‐generation organisms, once again underscoring the impaired ability of the end‐press organisms. These recoveries have significantly more phenotypes than the pulse survivor recoveries until around 1,200 updates (when the postpulse recovery average crosses the lower 95% confidence interval of the short‐generation series). After about 2,200 updates, the end‐press recovery is within the lower range of variation of the short‐generation recovery. By the end of the 100,000‐update test period, there are no significant differences between any of the three experimental recovery series, though once again the end‐press recovery takes the longest to recover fully. It is important to remember that while the preextinction short‐generation recovery is, on average, faster in terms of phenotypic diversification than the other two, the postpulse recovery is fastest in terms of rebuilding functional activity (and thus ecology).
These results also explain the faster preextinction increase in functional expression on L2 and L3. In the case of the preextinction short‐generation organisms, any previously expressed higher‐level functions have been silenced and decayed by mutation, but the organisms still have not experienced selection imposed by the press episode, and functional expression on these levels recovers, on average, more quickly than with the press survivors, though not as quickly as the unmutated, unselected pulse extinction survivors, and they diversify rapidly into new phenotypes. The press survivors, by contrast, show a markedly delayed recovery for both functional recovery and phenotypic recovery, evidence of the debilitating effects of selection during the press episode.
Additional Note on Rapid Recovery
In the digital system, during the early stages of recovery, many recently diverged organisms are separated by rather small genetic and phenotypic/ecological differences, which are still sufficient to permit these types to partition resources and thereby coexist stably. In some cases, one or several mutations are sufficient to produce a functional shift that builds on some existing genetic pathway to perform a new trophic function (Lenski et al. 2003), in much the same way that new biological functions evolve from existing components that previously served other functions (Mortlock 1984; Bridgham et al. 2006). Such mutational dynamics, combined with transformation of the environment through production and accumulation of new resources, contribute to episodes of rapid recovery in the digital system.
Figure D1: Comparison of population average generation time in press communities versus pulse communities. Lines represent average of 100 replicates. The Y‐axis is population average generation time (in instructions executed), and the X‐axis is absolute time (in thousands of updates). Data series are identical up to 100,000 updates, when treatments were imposed. Solid curve, pulse; dashed curve, press. Error series omitted for clarity.
Figure D2: Comparison of functional recovery in low‐density recovery experiments. All lines are averages of 50 replicates, except where indicated. In all plots, solid curves represent recovery using survivors of pulse extinctions, dashed curves represent recovery using stably coexisting organisms from the end of the press episode, and dot‐dashed curves represent recovery using the four preextinction organisms with the shortest generation times. The Y‐axis is total functional output (in thousands of executions), and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Error series omitted for clarity.
Figure D3: Comparison of phenotypic diversity recovery in low‐density recovery experiments. All lines are averages of 50 replicates. Solid curve represents recovery using survivors of pulse extinctions, dashed curve represents recovery using stably coexisting organisms from the end of the press episode, and dot‐dashed curve represents recovery using the four preextinction organisms with the shortest generation times. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes, and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Error series omitted for clarity.
Literature Cited Only in Appendix D
- Bridgham, J. T., S. M. Carroll, and J. W. Thornton. 2006. Evolution of hormone‐receptor complexity by molecular exploitation. Science 312:97–101.
- Mortlock, R. P., ed. 1984. Microorganisms as model systems for studying evolution. Plenum, New York.
Appendix E (PDF version, 3878kB)
Effect of Permanently Applied Press, Graded Recovery and Press, and Incomplete Sampling of Phenotypic Data
Permanently Applied Press Episode
Figure E1 shows the result of the low‐resource press episode being applied permanently for the duration of the experiment, with no restoration of resources. Levels of functional output and phenotypic diversity remain depressed for the duration of the experiment.
Any small increases in phenotypic diversity during this greatly extended press episode are transient and not maintainable under the persistent low‐resource conditions. Recovery can thus be delayed arbitrarily by reintroducing resources at any point in the extended press episode.
Effect of Graded Restoration of Resources
Delayed recoveries in our main experiments are due to factors at the individual and community levels that become manifest when resource inflows are suddenly restored to preextinction levels. A permanently applied press, however, suggests that recovery can be under substantial environmental control, depending on when resources are restored and by how much.
The examples below show what happens when resources are instead reintroduced (or reduced) in a stepwise, graded manner. For the restoration example, preextinction evolution and the press episode were applied as normal, where resource inflows were cut from 200 to 2 units/update. Rather than suddenly restoring resources, inflow levels were increased at regular periods of 2,500 updates (half the length of the press episode), as follows:
105,000–107,500 updates: 6 units/update
107,500–110,000 updates: 12 units/update
110,000–112,500 updates: 25 units/update
112,500–115,000 updates: 50 units/update
115,000–117,500 updates: 100 units/update
117,500–end: 200 units/update (preextinction level)
For the graded press episode, the levels were increased as follows:
100,000–102,500 updates: 100 units/update
102,500–105,000 updates: 50 units/update
105,000–107,500 updates: 25 units/update
107,500–110,000 updates: 12 units/update
110,000–112,500 updates: 6 units/update
112,500–end: 2 units/update (regular press episode level)
The difference in recovery profiles for both functional output and phenotypic diversity are clear in figure E2A, E2B. The recovery profile for the original experiment is indicated by solid lines and brighter colors, while that for the graded restoration is indicated by dashed lines and darker colors. Whereas functional activity on all trophic levels responds rather rapidly to a sudden restoration, functional output levels remain depressed well below preextinction levels until resource inflows reach 100 units/update, although a stepwise response coincident with each increase in resource inflows is evident. Of particular note, reevolution of L3 is greatly delayed relative to the original experiment.
The phenotypic recovery profile does not simply track the functional recovery. While increasing resource inflows from 2 to 6 units/update does not restore phenotypic diversity, a substantial diversity increase occurs at the next increase in resources (6 to 12 units/update). Interestingly, the resource inflow increases from 12 to 25 units/update and from 25 to 50 units/update do not substantially increase phenotypic diversity; indeed, the diversity declines between 110,000 and 112,500 updates, when resources are raised from 12 to 25 units/update. Diversity drops again when inflows are raised from 50 to 100 units/update, though this trend reverses itself before the next resource increase. Restoring resources to preextinction levels does not lead to a sharp increase in phenotypic diversity, though one does occur later. Further, in both sudden‐restoration (original experiment) and graded‐restoration series, major changes in phenotypic diversity—almost a shift from one equilibrium to another—are observed well after final resource inflow restoration, perhaps evidence of major community reorganization following particular evolutionary innovations. In the sudden restoration, a substantial drop in phenotypic diversity occurs between 130,000 and 140,000 updates, coincident with increases in expression of L2 and L3 functions. In the graded restoration, a sudden spike in phenotypic diversity occurs coincident with reevolution of L3 function between 137,500 and 140,000 updates, followed by a declining/oscillating dynamic before settling into a new equilibrium.
Similar dynamics are observed if this graded approach is applied to the press episode (fig. E2C, E2D). In this case, functional output is more sensitive to changes in resource inflow, as each reduction in resource availability reduces functional output, with the steepest drop coming when resource inflows are reduced from 25 to 12 units/update (fig. E2C). Loss of function, however, occurs only when resources drop to 6 units/update. Interestingly, phenotypic diversity seems largely unaffected by the first three reductions but plummets when resources drop from 25 to 12 units/update. Diversity drops again at the next two reductions, until it reaches levels comparable to those of the end‐press phase in the standard press/recovery experiment.
While the particular details would almost certainly vary widely from replicate to replicate, this example demonstrates that timing and level of resource reintroduction can serve as external controlling factors on both ecological and phenotypic loss and recovery, inducing additional delays above any that result from biotic factors. Certain thresholds of resource availability may also be required to see any meaningful extinction and recovery effects.
Effect of Incomplete Sampling on Phenotypic Recovery
We were interested in seeing the effect that incomplete sampling of the data would have on the apparent dynamic of recovery. We took the data for the run shown in figure 3B, where phenotypic recovery after the extinction was rapid and complete, focusing on the early recovery phase. To simulate incomplete sampling of the type invoked by Lu et al. (2006), where fossil preservation potential is very poor immediately following the extinction but improves afterward, we multiplied the number of phenotypes for each sampled time point by a random percentage chosen between bounds that became progressively larger over time. The bounds were chosen as follows:
a. 105,000–106,000 updates—1%–20%
b. 106,000–107,000 updates—20%–40%
c. 107,000–108,000 updates—40%–60%
d. 108,000–109,000 updates—60%–80%
e. 109,000–110,000 updates—80%–100%
The result is shown in figure E3, where the solid line indicates the original data series and the dashed line shows the result of incomplete sampling. The initial period of very poor sampling a misses the initial rapid increase in phenotypic diversity and makes phenotypic diversity continue to seem depressed. As sampling improves in subsequent time periods, phenotypic diversity shows a number of “spikes” in diversification that are (unsurprisingly) coincident with the boundaries of sampling improvement, although the complete data series shows a generally decelerating trend in phenotypic diversity increase over this period—indeed, some of the spikes in the incomplete series are coincident with transient diversity drops in the complete series.
Although this is a very crude and simplistic way of simulating poor preservation and incomplete sampling, we do acknowledge that this phenomenon can make recoveries that are in fact rapid appear more protracted and can introduce spurious “delayed” bursts of diversity increase into a data series. This does not, however, detract from our results showing delayed (or even failed) recovery using the complete data, which cannot be due to incomplete sampling.
Figure E1: Effect of permanently applied press episode. A, Functional output versus time for permanently applied press episode. The Y‐axis is functional output (in thousands of executions), and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). All series represent the average of 100 replicates. Error series are 2 SE from the average. Trophic‐level color coding as in figure 2. B, Phenotypic diversity versus time. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes, and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Series represents the average of 100 replicates. Error series are 2 SE from the average.
Figure E2: Effect of graded reintroduction and reduction of resources on functional and phenotypic recovery. In all plots, the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates). Dashed vertical lines indicate different windows of resource availability in the graded inflow experiments. Numbers between lines indicate resource inflow (in units/update) during that period of time. A, Functional recovery. Data series runs from 90,000 to 150,000 updates. The Y‐axis is functional output (in thousands of executions). Solid lines, original experiment with sudden restoration of resource inflows; dashed lines, experiment with graded restoration of resource inflows. Light green/dark green, L0; light blue/dark blue, L1; light purple/dark purple, L2; red/dark red, L3. B, Phenotypic recovery. Data series runs from 90,000 to 180,000 updates. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes. Black line, original experiment with sudden restoration of resource inflows; blue line, experiment with graded restoration of resource inflows. C, Response of functional output to graded press episode. Data series runs from 90,000 to 115,000 updates. The Y‐axis is functional output (in thousands of executions). Solid lines, original experiment with sudden press and restoration of resource inflows; dashed lines, experiment with graded reduction of resource inflows. Light green/dark green, L0; light blue/dark blue, L1; light purple/dark purple, L2; red/dark red, L3. D, Response of phenotypic diversity to graded press episode. Data series runs from 90,000 to 115,000 updates. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes. Black line, original experiment with sudden press and restoration of resource inflows; blue line, experiment with graded reduction of resource inflows.
Figure E3: Effect of incomplete sampling of phenotypic diversity data. Data series is that used for figure 3D. The Y‐axis is number of phenotypes, and the X‐axis is time (in thousands of updates), between 100,000 and 115,000 updates. The solid line represents the complete data series, and the dashed line represents the series with different sampling intensities applied to different periods of the early recovery phase.
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* Corresponding author; e‐mail: gyedid02@gmail.com.
- Top of page
- Introduction
- Material and Methods
- Results
- Discussion
- Acknowledgments
- Appendix: A General Execut...
- Logic Operations in Avida...
- Details of Environmental ...
- Comparisons with Previous...
- Literature Cited Only in ...
- Appendix: B Additional Fun...
- Functional Degradation du...
- Functional Simplification...
- Average Executions per Or...
- Average Number of Functio...
- Additional Individual Res...
- Extinction‐Free Control E...
- Large‐World Experiments
- Appendix: C Additional Res...
- Extended Recovery Time fo...
- Appendix: D Response of Ge...
- Effect of Density and Com...
- Average Generation Time i...
- Correspondence between Av...
- Effect of Density and Com...
- Additional Note on Rapid ...
- Literature Cited Only in ...
- Appendix: E Effect of Perm...
- Permanently Applied Press...
- Effect of Graded Restorat...
- Effect of Incomplete Samp...
- Literature Cited



























