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A Toy Forecast Model

Witold Sadowski
The American Mathematical Monthly
Vol. 119, No. 10 (December 2012), pp. 876-879
DOI: 10.4169/amer.math.monthly.119.10.876
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Page Count: 4
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A Toy Forecast Model
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Abstract We present a deterministic toy forecast model and give an elementary proof of why it is not reliable when used to make long-term predictions.

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