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Winning a Pool Is Harder Than You Thought

John P. Bonomo
The College Mathematics Journal
Vol. 47, No. 5 (November 2016), pp. 347-355
DOI: 10.4169/college.math.j.47.5.347
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.4169/college.math.j.47.5.347
Page Count: 9
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Winning a Pool Is Harder Than You Thought
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Abstract

This article address the question of whether or not it is possible to know if you are mathematically eliminated from a type of betting pool known as a confidence pool. We show that this problem falls in the category of NP-complete problems, meaning that there is almost surely no quick method to determine the answer.

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