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System Simulation of Agricultural Development: Some Nigerian Policy Comparisons

The Michigan State University Agricultural Sector Simulation Team
American Journal of Agricultural Economics
Vol. 55, No. 3 (Aug., 1973), pp. 404-419
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1239121
Page Count: 16
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System Simulation of Agricultural Development: Some Nigerian Policy Comparisons
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Abstract

The generalized system simulation approach can improve information input to the decision-making process in general. This paper illustrates a particular application to problems of planning and policy making for agricultural sector development. An overview of a simulation model of the Nigerian economy is given, and results of a series of 15 Nigerian agricultural development policy simulation experiments are analyzed in detail. The main conclusion is that, at least for these 15 experiments, a technological transformation of agricultural export crop production is necessary for sustained economic growth. The paper concludes with a discussion of the approach's general applicability.

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