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Time Series Evidence of Unemployment Flows: The Sample Period Matters

Monika Merz
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Vol. 17, No. 3 (Jul., 1999), pp. 324-334
DOI: 10.2307/1392290
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1392290
Page Count: 11
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Time Series Evidence of Unemployment Flows: The Sample Period Matters
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Abstract

Worker flows to and from unemployment occur at all stages of the U.S. business cycle. The flows' dynamics affect the dynamics of the unemployment rate. This article studies the dynamics of unemployment flows and the unemployment rate and explores and documents changes over time. Rigorous diagnostic tests are used to investigate the structural stability of projectional relationships involving flows and the unemployment rate.

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