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Uses of Global Models: A New Generation FUGI Model for Projections and Policy Simulations of the World Economy

Akira Onishi
International Political Science Review / Revue internationale de science politique
Vol. 11, No. 2, Global Modeling/Modèles d'ordinateur de l' évolution mondiale (Apr., 1990), pp. 279-295
Published by: Sage Publications, Ltd.
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1600940
Page Count: 17
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Uses of Global Models: A New Generation FUGI Model for Projections and Policy Simulations of the World Economy
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Abstract

The purpose of this article is twofold: to introduce a new generation of the FUGI global model and, using this model, to make projections and policy simulations of the world economy to the year 2000. Global modeling has been aided not only by the development of high-technology computer systems but also it has benefited from recent developments in the life sciences. The FUGI model classifies the world into 140 countries and regions and provides global information about the world economy under alternative policy scenarios. This FUGI model is currently being used by the United Nations for the purpose of long-term projections and policy simulations of the world economy, and it is likely to play a significant role in envisaging the future of global interdependence and corroborating the need for global cooperation. /// L'auteur présente le plus récent des modèles FUGI et en démontre l'utilité pour prédire l'économie mondiale de l'an 2000. Ce nouveau modèle tient compte non seulement des développements de l'ordinateur de haute technologie mais aussi des développements récents dans le domaine des sciences de la vie. Le modèle FUGI divise le monde en 140 Etats et régions et soumet leur évolution à différents scénarios. Ce modèle est utilisé par les Nations Unies afin d'obtenir des mesures à long terme de l'économie mondiale. Il démontrera vraisemblablement le besoin accru de collaboration au niveau planétaire.

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