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The Epidemiology of War, 1816-1980

Henk W. Houweling and Jan G. Siccama
The Journal of Conflict Resolution
Vol. 29, No. 4 (Dec., 1985), pp. 641-663
Published by: Sage Publications, Inc.
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/174247
Page Count: 23
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Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
The Epidemiology of War, 1816-1980
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Abstract

Quantitative research into the causes of war is influenced by the choice that has to be made between time-series designs on the one hand and cross-sectional designs on the other. The assumption of independence is important for both of them. The present article investigates whether warfare is clustered in time and in space. Using a method of analysis proposed by epidemiologists, significant evidence is found for time-space interaction not only in participation in war but also in outbreaks of war.

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