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Confirming Inexact Generalizations
Ernest W. Adams
PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association
Vol. 1988, Volume One: Contributed Papers (1988), pp. 10-16
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/192963
Page Count: 7
You can always find the topics here!Topics: Positive instances, Emeralds, Grue, Conditional probabilities, Paradoxes, Logical givens, Logical theorems, Mathematical constants, Truth, Probability distributions
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I suppose that 'ravens are black' is an inexact generalization having a degree of truth measured by the proportion of ravens that are black, and a probability measured by its expected degree of truth in different 'possible worlds.' Given this, 'ravens are black' differs in truth, probability, and confirmation from 'non-black things are not ravens', and this suggests a new approach to Hempel's Paradox as well as to other aspects of confirmation. Basic concepts of a formal theory developing this approach are described, and some of its fundamental laws are given, together with sketches of applications.
PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association © 1988 The University of Chicago Press