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Economic Conditions and The Presidential Vote
Robert S. Erikson
The American Political Science Review
Vol. 83, No. 2 (Jun., 1989), pp. 567-573
Published by: American Political Science Association
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1962406
Page Count: 7
You can always find the topics here!Topics: Political candidates, Presidential elections, Voting, Economic growth models, Correlations, Economic theory, Incumbents, Political science, Presidential candidates, Election forecasting
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This analysis demonstrates that the relative growth of per capita income change is an important determinant of post-World War II presidential election outcomes. Per capita income change is even a better predictor of presidential election outcomes than the electorate's relative attraction to the Democratic and Republican candidates as calibrated in National Election Study surveys. The significance of this finding is discussed.
The American Political Science Review © 1989 American Political Science Association