Access

You are not currently logged in.

Access your personal account or get JSTOR access through your library or other institution:

login

Log in to your personal account or through your institution.

If You Use a Screen Reader

This content is available through Read Online (Free) program, which relies on page scans. Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.

Transitions by Agreement: Modeling the Spanish Way

Josep M. Colomer
The American Political Science Review
Vol. 85, No. 4 (Dec., 1991), pp. 1283-1302
DOI: 10.2307/1963946
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1963946
Page Count: 20
  • Read Online (Free)
  • Subscribe ($19.50)
  • Cite this Item
Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Transitions by Agreement: Modeling the Spanish Way
Preview not available

Abstract

Several nonrevolutionary cases of transition to democracy are modeled. Different preferences and strategic choices between the alternatives of continuity, reform, and rupture of the authoritarian regime are used to define conventional distinctions between hard-liners, soft-liners, and opposition more precisely. Six groups of actors emerge. Using game theory, the interactions among these actors are formally analyzed. The possibility of political pact in the first phase of change is identified with the possibility of cooperation between players in games in which the equilibrium is a deficient outcome. Three models of transition by agreement are established: agreed reform within the ruling bloc, controlled opening to the opposition, and sudden collapse of the authoritarian regime. Each of these models entails differences in the pace of change and in the limits of the pact and can be associated with different cases of transition in Southern Europe, Latin America, and Eastern Europe.

Page Thumbnails

  • Thumbnail: Page 
1283
    1283
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1284
    1284
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1285
    1285
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1286
    1286
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1287
    1287
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1288
    1288
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1289
    1289
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1290
    1290
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1291
    1291
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1292
    1292
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1293
    1293
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1294
    1294
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1295
    1295
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1296
    1296
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1297
    1297
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1298
    1298
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1299
    1299
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1300
    1300
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1301
    1301
  • Thumbnail: Page 
1302
    1302