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Population Trends, Population Policy, and Population Studies in China

Ansley J. Coale
Population and Development Review
Vol. 7, No. 1 (Mar., 1981), pp. 85-97
Published by: Population Council
DOI: 10.2307/1972766
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1972766
Page Count: 13
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Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Population Trends, Population Policy, and Population Studies in China
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Abstract

Recently available data confirm reports of a Chinese population of almost a billion, with a very low death rate and a birth rate that has been halved in fifteen years. Illustrative projections of the demographic implications of different trajectories of future fertility demonstrate that a cessation of growth by 2000 would require implausibly low fertility and result in extremely unbalanced age distributions--neither of which would be acceptable as policy goals. Such projections illustrate the value of demographic research in formulating Chinese population policies. Sparseness of existing Chinese resources in the social sciences and statistics, however, is a major hindrance to the growth of population science within the country.

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