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Implications of Future Fertility Trends for Contraceptive Practice
Population and Development Review
Vol. 10, No. 2 (Jun., 1984), pp. 341-352
Published by: Population Council
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1973086
Page Count: 12
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The most recent long-range global and regional population projections made by the United Nations assume that fertility will decline in all major regions of the developing world. This paper presents estimates of the increase in contraceptive practice that will be required to bring about the fertility reductions incorporated in the UN medium projection. For the developing world as a whole, the proportion of women practicing contraception will have to rise from 43 percent to 68 percent between 1984 and 2025. During this period the largest increases in contraceptive prevalence will be required in Africa (from 12 to 59 percent) while East Asia needs only a 5 percentage point increase. Corresponding projections of the number of women practicing contraception, by region, are also presented.
Population and Development Review © 1984 Population Council