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Causal Probability

John L. Pollock
Synthese
Vol. 132, No. 1/2, Propensities and Probabilities (Jul. - Aug., 2002), pp. 143-185
Published by: Springer
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/20117274
Page Count: 43
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Causal Probability
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Abstract

Examples growing out of the Newcomb problem have convinced many people that decision theory should proceed in terms of some kind of causal probability. I endorse this view and define and investigate a variety of causal probability. My definition is related to Skyrms' definition, but proceeds in terms of objective probabilities rather than subjective probabilities and avoids taking causal dependence as a primitive concept.

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