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New Estimates of Undocumented Mexican Migration and the Probability of Apprehension

Douglas S. Massey and Audrey Singer
Demography
Vol. 32, No. 2 (May, 1995), pp. 203-213
Published by: Springer on behalf of the Population Association of America
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2061740
Page Count: 11
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New Estimates of Undocumented Mexican Migration and the Probability of Apprehension
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Abstract

Using a new source of data, we estimate the probability of apprehension among Mexican migrants attempting to cross into the United States without documents. Over the period 1965-1989 we found an average apprehension probability of .35, confirming earlier estimates. We then applied annual probabilities to estimate the gross volume of undocumented Mexican migration and adjusted these figures to derive estimates of the net undocumented inflow.

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