Access

You are not currently logged in.

Access your personal account or get JSTOR access through your library or other institution:

login

Log in to your personal account or through your institution.

If You Use a Screen Reader

This content is available through Read Online (Free) program, which relies on page scans. Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.

Alternative Markov Models for Describing Change in Party Identification

Douglas Dobson and Duane A. Meeter
American Journal of Political Science
Vol. 18, No. 3 (Aug., 1974), pp. 487-500
DOI: 10.2307/2110627
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2110627
Page Count: 14
  • Read Online (Free)
  • Subscribe ($19.50)
  • Cite this Item
Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Alternative Markov Models for Describing Change in Party Identification
Preview not available

Abstract

This paper utilizes panel data collected by the Survey Research Center to assess the fit of data on party identification to three alternative models--all of which are Markovian in nature. The models are given by: (1) P(t) = D + (I - D)M; (2) P(t) = D(t) + (I - D(t))M; (3) P(t) = D(t) + (I - D(t))M(t). Thus they decompose the Markov process into two distinct processes, determining when a move will occur and the outcome of a move, given that it did occur. When the data for the total sample are considered, changes in party identification are found to fit the model described by (3). By partitioning chi-square values for diagonal estimates and examining standardized residuals for off-diagonal estimates, sources of time variation are investigated.

Page Thumbnails

  • Thumbnail: Page 
487
    487
  • Thumbnail: Page 
488
    488
  • Thumbnail: Page 
489
    489
  • Thumbnail: Page 
490
    490
  • Thumbnail: Page 
491
    491
  • Thumbnail: Page 
492
    492
  • Thumbnail: Page 
493
    493
  • Thumbnail: Page 
494
    494
  • Thumbnail: Page 
495
    495
  • Thumbnail: Page 
496
    496
  • Thumbnail: Page 
497
    497
  • Thumbnail: Page 
498
    498
  • Thumbnail: Page 
499
    499
  • Thumbnail: Page 
500
    500