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A Unified Model of Cabinet Dissolution in Parliamentary Democracies

Gary King, James E. Alt, Nancy Elizabeth Burns and Michael Laver
American Journal of Political Science
Vol. 34, No. 3 (Aug., 1990), pp. 846-871
DOI: 10.2307/2111401
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2111401
Page Count: 26
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Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
A Unified Model of Cabinet Dissolution in Parliamentary Democracies
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Abstract

The literature on cabinet duration is split between two apparently irreconcilable positions. The attributes theorists seek to explain cabinet duration as a fixed function of measured explanatory variables, while the events process theorists model cabinet durations as a product of purely stochastic processes. In this paper we build a unified statistical model that combines the insights of these previously distinct approaches. We also generalize this unified model, and all previous models, by including (1) a stochastic component that takes into account the censoring that occurs as a result of governments lasting to the vicinity of the maximum constitutional interelection period, (2) a systematic component that precludes the possibility of negative duration predictions, and (3) a much more objective and parsimonious list of explanatory variables, the explanatory power of which would not be improved by including a list of indicator variables for individual countries.

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