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A Model of Evacuation--Decision Making in a Nuclear Reactor Emergency
James H. Johnson, Jr.
Vol. 75, No. 4 (Oct., 1985), pp. 405-418
Published by: American Geographical Society
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/214409
Page Count: 14
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A model for decision making about evacuation during a radiological emergency is tested by loglinear causal modeling and with data from a survey of households in the vicinity of the Shoreham nuclear power station on Long Island. The model incorporates intention to evacuate as a surrogate for actual behavior and attributes of both location and local residents as predictors of evacuation. The results strongly suggest that the model can forecast magnitude and spatial extent of spontaneous evacuation for any commercial nuclear installation, if a radiological emergency should occur.
Geographical Review © 1985 American Geographical Society