You are not currently logged in.
Access JSTOR through your library or other institution:
If You Use a Screen ReaderThis content is available through Read Online (Free) program, which relies on page scans. Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
The Responses of Species to Climate Over Two Centuries: An Analysis of the Marsham Phenological Record, 1736-1947
T. H. Sparks and P. D. Carey
Journal of Ecology
Vol. 83, No. 2 (Apr., 1995), pp. 321-329
Published by: British Ecological Society
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2261570
Page Count: 9
You can always find the topics here!Topics: Climate models, Phenology, Species, Climate change, Rain, Meteorology, Plants, Datasets, Birds of prey, Weather
Were these topics helpful?See something inaccurate? Let us know!
Select the topics that are inaccurate.
Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Preview not available
1 The Marsham phenological data have been `rediscovered' several times. This unique data set, spanning two centuries, consists of first dates of observation, or `indications of spring', for 27 phenological events which relate to over 20 species of plants and animals. 2 This paper extends the 1926 appraisal of the data from 1736 to 1925 by adding the 22 years up to 1947, when publication of the record ceased. 3 The Marsham data are examined in relation to Manley's central England monthly temperature data and Craddock's annual rainfall data and are further examined for unexplained trends over time. 4 Most of the phenological variables were significantly related to climatic variables or changed through time. 5 An appraisal of the historical response of flora and fauna to climate was made and allowed us to predict changes in species performance due to climate change in the future. If commonly used climate scenarios are accurate we predict that most or all of the indications of spring noted in the Marsham record will occur earlier in the calendar year.
Journal of Ecology © 1995 British Ecological Society