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Down to Ten: Estimating the Effect of a Red Card in Soccer

G. Ridder, J. S. Cramer and P. Hopstaken
Journal of the American Statistical Association
Vol. 89, No. 427 (Sep., 1994), pp. 1124-1127
DOI: 10.2307/2290942
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2290942
Page Count: 4
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Down to Ten: Estimating the Effect of a Red Card in Soccer
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Abstract

We investigate the effect of the expulsion of a player on the outcome of a soccer match by means of a probability model for the score. We propose estimators of the expulsion effect that are independent of the relative strength of the teams. We use the estimates to illustrate the expulsion effect on the outcome of a match.

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