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The Contemporary Presidency: Explaining Presidential Greatness: The Roles of Peace and Prosperity?
JILL L. CURRY and IRWIN L. MORRIS
Presidential Studies Quarterly
Vol. 40, No. 3, The 2008 Presidential Election, Part II (September 2010), pp. 515-530
Published by: Wiley on behalf of the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/23044923
Page Count: 16
You can always find the topics here!Topics: Presidential performance, Civil wars, War, Economic growth models, Economic growth, Presidential elections, Polls, Statistical models, Political science, Economic policy
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Research on presidential greatness has a long history in the study of the American presidency. A prominent aspect of this literature is the study of presidential ratings generated from surveys of both experts and average Americans. A considerable body of research suggests that a relatively small number of factors—such as time in office, intellectual brilliance, and whether a president was assassinated—explain a great deal of the variation in the ratings. However, this list of variables includes no indicators of policy performance. We propose two such measures—one focusing on economic outcomes and one focusing on the outcomes of military conflict—and provide rationales for the hypothesized relationships between these measures of policy performance and presidential ratings. We find evidence of a substantial relationship between economic policy success and presidential ratings. However, there is no evidence of a relationship between foreign policy success and presidential ratings.
Presidential Studies Quarterly © 2010 Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress