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Die Bundestagswahl 2005 im Spiegel der repräsentativen Wahlstatistik

Eckhard Jesse
Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen
Vol. 37, No. 3 (September 2006), pp. 513-523
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/24236823
Page Count: 11
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Abstract

Official representative electoral statistics have been conducted for federal elections since 1953 (except in 1994 and in 1998) in Germany. In this world-wide unique statistics, the turnout and the voting behaviour by age and gender are established by counting votes in selected representative polling stations. For 2005 the following results were found: In contrast to earlier times, the turnout of men and women hardly differs any more. In addition, men and women do not differ to a high degree in their voting behaviour – in particular concerning the two big parties. Nonetheless, the SPD continues to be more often elected by women (35.5 percent) than by men (32.8 percent). The difference between the highest share (18 to 24 years: 36.9 percent) and the lowest share (25 to 34 years: 32.7 percent) in respect to age groups is much smaller in the case of the Social Democrats than for the CDU (18 to 24 years: 26.4 percent; from 60 years: 43.3 percent). The latter's electorate grows significantly with increasing age. The representative electoral statistics is important because of its accuracy (also regarding the splitting of votes). However, age and gender are not factors determining elections. From that point of view, the validity of the statistics results stands in a certain discrepancy to its relevance.

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