Access

You are not currently logged in.

Access JSTOR through your library or other institution:

login

Log in through your institution.

If You Use a Screen Reader

This content is available through Read Online (Free) program, which relies on page scans. Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Journal Article

An Epidemic Chain Model

Niels Becker
Biometrics
Vol. 36, No. 2 (Jun., 1980), pp. 249-254
DOI: 10.2307/2529976
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2529976
Page Count: 6
Were these topics helpful?
See something inaccurate? Let us know!

Select the topics that are inaccurate.

Cancel
  • Read Online (Free)
  • Download ($14.00)
  • Subscribe ($19.50)
  • Add to My Lists
  • Cite this Item
Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
An Epidemic Chain Model
Preview not available

Abstract

An epidemic chain model is developed by assuming a beta distribution for the probability of being infected by contact with a given infective from the same household. This model includes, as a particular case, the epidemic chain model corresponding to the stochastic Kermack-McKendrick model and, as a limiting case, the Reed-Frost chain binomial model. The advantages of the more general model are illustrated with an application to household data for the common cold. Finally, it is shown how the coefficient of variation of the duration of the infectious period may be estimated without any direct observations on this duration.

Page Thumbnails

  • Thumbnail: Page 
249
    249
  • Thumbnail: Page 
250
    250
  • Thumbnail: Page 
251
    251
  • Thumbnail: Page 
252
    252
  • Thumbnail: Page 
253
    253
  • Thumbnail: Page 
254
    254