Access

You are not currently logged in.

Access JSTOR through your library or other institution:

login

Log in through your institution.

If You Use a Screen Reader

This content is available through Read Online (Free) program, which relies on page scans. Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Journal Article

Making up the Results: The Work of the Football Pools Panel, 1963-1997

David Forrest and Robert Simmons
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D (The Statistician)
Vol. 49, No. 2 (2000), pp. 253-260
Published by: Wiley for the Royal Statistical Society
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2680974
Page Count: 8
Were these topics helpful?
See something inaccurate? Let us know!

Select the topics that are inaccurate.

Cancel
  • Read Online (Free)
  • Download ($29.00)
  • Subscribe ($19.50)
  • Add to My Lists
  • Cite this Item
Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Making up the Results: The Work of the Football Pools Panel, 1963-1997
Preview not available

Abstract

Since 1963, a panel of experts has determined for gambling purposes the results of soccer matches in Britain which were included in the football pools weekly game but which could not be played because of adverse weather. The paper models its behaviour and highlights differences between the factors which appear to influence the panel's predictions and those that matter to the outcomes of real games. Panel results are more predictable than real results and the paper offers a specific recommendation to the Pools Panel to render its judgments less predictable. The panel also appears to overemphasize the importance of the recent away form of the away team. An explanation for this systematic difference in the statistical estimates of Pools Panel and actual results is found in the home advantage literature in sports statistics.

Page Thumbnails

  • Thumbnail: Page 
[253]
    [253]
  • Thumbnail: Page 
254
    254
  • Thumbnail: Page 
255
    255
  • Thumbnail: Page 
256
    256
  • Thumbnail: Page 
257
    257
  • Thumbnail: Page 
258
    258
  • Thumbnail: Page 
259
    259
  • Thumbnail: Page 
260
    260