You are not currently logged in.
Access JSTOR through your library or other institution:
If You Use a Screen ReaderThis content is available through Read Online (Free) program, which relies on page scans. Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Making up the Results: The Work of the Football Pools Panel, 1963-1997
David Forrest and Robert Simmons
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D (The Statistician)
Vol. 49, No. 2 (2000), pp. 253-260
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2680974
Page Count: 8
You can always find the topics here!Topics: Games, Soccer, Standard deviation, Modeling, Betting, Proportions, Variable coefficients, Predictability, Coefficients, Sports
Were these topics helpful?See something inaccurate? Let us know!
Select the topics that are inaccurate.
Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Preview not available
Since 1963, a panel of experts has determined for gambling purposes the results of soccer matches in Britain which were included in the football pools weekly game but which could not be played because of adverse weather. The paper models its behaviour and highlights differences between the factors which appear to influence the panel's predictions and those that matter to the outcomes of real games. Panel results are more predictable than real results and the paper offers a specific recommendation to the Pools Panel to render its judgments less predictable. The panel also appears to overemphasize the importance of the recent away form of the away team. An explanation for this systematic difference in the statistical estimates of Pools Panel and actual results is found in the home advantage literature in sports statistics.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series D (The Statistician) © 2000 Royal Statistical Society