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Journal Article

The Probability of a Field Goal: Rating Kickers

Donald A. Berry and Timothy D. Berry
The American Statistician
Vol. 39, No. 2 (May, 1985), pp. 152-155
DOI: 10.2307/2682830
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2682830
Page Count: 4
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The Probability of a Field Goal: Rating Kickers
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Abstract

The probability that a field goal attempt will be successful is estimated. The estimate depends on the yardages of the kicker's previous successful and unsuccessful attempts. The estimate involves modeling accuracy and distance. Methods for ranking kickers based on this estimate are proposed. National Football League kickers are ranked on the basis of their 1983 regular season records.

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