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The Probability of a Field Goal: Rating Kickers
Donald A. Berry and Timothy D. Berry
The American Statistician
Vol. 39, No. 2 (May, 1985), pp. 152-155
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2682830
Page Count: 4
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The probability that a field goal attempt will be successful is estimated. The estimate depends on the yardages of the kicker's previous successful and unsuccessful attempts. The estimate involves modeling accuracy and distance. Methods for ranking kickers based on this estimate are proposed. National Football League kickers are ranked on the basis of their 1983 regular season records.
The American Statistician © 1985 American Statistical Association