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The Role of Statistical Models in the Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Motion

Charles J. Neumann
The American Statistician
Vol. 39, No. 4, Part 2: Proceedings of the Eighth Symposium on Statistics, Law, and the Environment (Nov., 1985), pp. 347-357
DOI: 10.2307/2683013
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2683013
Page Count: 11
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The Role of Statistical Models in the Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Motion
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Abstract

Tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes, typhoons, etc.) occur over many of the earth's tropical marine areas. Responsibility for tracking and predicting the future course of these storms is assigned to one or more domestic or foreign meteorological services. These services routinely activate a number of statistical and dynamical prediction models as objective guidance preparatory to issuing official forecasts on these storms. In this article, the role of the statistical models in this process is examined.

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