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Bandwagon and Underdog Effects and the Possibility of Election Predictions

Herbert A. Simon
The Public Opinion Quarterly
Vol. 18, No. 3 (Autumn, 1954), pp. 245-253
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2745982
Page Count: 9
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Bandwagon and Underdog Effects and the Possibility of Election Predictions
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Abstract

Social research has often been attacked on the grounds that the research itself so altered the original situations as to make accurate predictions impossible. In this article, the author deals particularly with the effects of published predictions and the adjustments necessary to account for reactions to those predictions.

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