Access

You are not currently logged in.

Access your personal account or get JSTOR access through your library or other institution:

login

Log in to your personal account or through your institution.

If you need an accessible version of this item please contact JSTOR User Support

Why Do the Republicans Win the White House More Often than the Democrats?

David J. Smyth and Susan Washburn Taylor
Presidential Studies Quarterly
Vol. 22, No. 3, Eisenhower and Presidential Elections (Summer, 1992), pp. 481-491
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/27550992
Page Count: 11
  • Read Online (Free)
  • Cite this Item
If you need an accessible version of this item please contact JSTOR User Support
Why Do the Republicans Win the White House More Often than the Democrats?
Preview not available

Abstract

Since the end of the New Deal era the Republicans have been much more successful than the Democrats at winning presidential elections. We offer an explanation of this in terms of the partisan theory. The partisan theory posits that Democrats and Republicans will follow different macroeconomic policies in accordance with the wishes of their partisans. The Democrats target unemployment rather than inflation; the Republicans target inflation rather than unemployment. We analyze the effect on the economy of the two parties acting in accordance with the partisan theory. If the Republican party is in office, as election time nears, the Republicans will be well placed to retain the White House. If Democratic party is in office it will be difficult for the party's presidential nominee to be elected. Empirical evidence from the Eisenhower presidency onwards supports the partisan model, but not for the Bush presidency. Our analysis implies that the next time the Democratic party wins the White House it should not follow its usual partisan macroeconomic policy because such a policy fails to reduce unemployment permanently and raises the inflation rate. If the Democrats want to be reelected they should follow the macroeconomic policies usually adopted by the Republicans.

Page Thumbnails

  • Thumbnail: Page 
481
    481
  • Thumbnail: Page 
482
    482
  • Thumbnail: Page 
483
    483
  • Thumbnail: Page 
484
    484
  • Thumbnail: Page 
485
    485
  • Thumbnail: Page 
486
    486
  • Thumbnail: Page 
487
    487
  • Thumbnail: Page 
488
    488
  • Thumbnail: Page 
489
    489
  • Thumbnail: Page 
490
    490
  • Thumbnail: Page 
491
    491