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John Brownlee and the Measurement of Infectiousness: An Historical Study in Epidemic Theory
Paul E. M. Fine
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General)
Vol. 142, No. 3 (1979), pp. 347-362
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2982487
Page Count: 16
You can always find the topics here!Topics: Epidemics, Epidemiology, Infectious diseases, Measles, Periodicity, Mortality, Infections, Statistics, Mathematical problems, Influenza
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Dr John Brownlee was the first Director of the Statistical Department of the Medical Research Council, from 1914 until 1927. Much of his published work related to a theory of epidemic processes, which he had derived through algebraic manipulation of earlier work by William Farr. Brownlee's advocacy of this theory, which attributed the rise and decline of epidemics to changes in the "infectiousness" of pathogenic agents, had a major impact on epidemiological and microbiological research for many years. A review of this important period in the development of mathematical epidemiology illustrates some of the logical pitfalls and institutional implications of such work.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) © 1979 Royal Statistical Society