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Fewer Felons?: Crime in London in the 1990s

J. R. Ennis, D. N. Wackett and K. J. Mitchell
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (Statistics in Society)
Vol. 154, No. 2 (1991), pp. 269-286
Published by: Wiley for the Royal Statistical Society
DOI: 10.2307/2983041
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2983041
Page Count: 18
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Fewer Felons?: Crime in London in the 1990s
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Abstract

A high proportion of criminal arrests are of teenagers. This section of the population is in sharp decline. Analyses have therefore been carried out of the possible effect on offences and arrests of demographic change in the period to 1995. The various analyses are based on historical data for London. Where possible they take account of the level of police manpower as well as population. A major difficulty is found to be the underrecording of the true extent of crime. The tentative conclusion is that any reduction in recorded crime is likely to be much less dramatic than the statistics at first sight suggest.

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