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The Offender Group Reconviction Scale: A Statistical Reconviction Score for Use by Probation Officers
John Copas and Peter Marshall
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics)
Vol. 47, No. 1 (1998), pp. 159-171
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2986060
Page Count: 13
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The criminal courts in England and Wales may request the probation service to submit pre-sentence reports which are considered by magistrates and judges before making their sentencing decision. Pre-sentence reports must include an assessment of the risk of reoffending and the risk of harm to the public which the convicted offender presents. The offender group reconviction scale is a statistical aid to such risk assessment. We describe the scale and the statistical analysis on which it is based, and we discuss some statistical aspects of its interpretation and use.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics) © 1998 Royal Statistical Society