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Modelling Ship Operational Reliability over a Mission under Regular Inspections
A. H. Christer and S. K. Lee
The Journal of the Operational Research Society
Vol. 48, No. 7 (Jul., 1997), pp. 688-699
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3010058
Page Count: 12
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A ship is required to operate for a fixed mission period. Should a critical item of equipment fail at sea, the ship is subject to a costly event with potentially high risk to ship and crew. Given warning of a pending defect, the ship can try to return to port under its own power and thus attempt to avoid an at sea failure. Defects which lead to a failure are detected by inspection, and the task is to select the appropriate frequency of inspection to balance the number of occasions that a ship fails at sea and the number of preventive inspection based returns to port during a mission to correct a defect. The modelling entails using the delay time concept. Expressions are established for the expected number of preventive and failure returns over a mission, and an example given of a cost based balance to select an optimal inspection period. Although addressing ship reliability, the model has relevance to the mission reliability of any repairable equipment with remote main repair facilities.
The Journal of the Operational Research Society © 1997 Operational Research Society