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Predicting the Location of Deforestation: The Role of Roads and Protected Areas in North Thailand
Maureen Cropper, Jyotsna Puri and Charles Griffiths
Vol. 77, No. 2, Tropical Deforestation and Land Use (May, 2001), pp. 172-186
Published by: University of Wisconsin Press
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3147088
Page Count: 15
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Using plot level data, we estimate a bivariate probit model to explain land clearing and the siting of protected areas in North Thailand in 1986. The model suggests that protected areas (national parks and wildlife sanctuaries together) did not reduce the likelihood of forest clearing; however, wildlife sanctuaries may have reduced the probability of deforestation. Road building, by reducing impedance-weighted distance to market, has promoted clearing, especially near the forest fringe. We simulate the impact of further road building to show where road building is likely to have greatest impact and where it is likely to threaten protected areas.
Land Economics © 2001 Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System