Access

You are not currently logged in.

Access your personal account or get JSTOR access through your library or other institution:

login

Log in to your personal account or through your institution.

If you need an accessible version of this item please contact JSTOR User Support

The Polls and the 1995 Quebec Referendum

John Fox, Robert Andersen and Joseph Dubonnet
The Canadian Journal of Sociology / Cahiers canadiens de sociologie
Vol. 24, No. 3 (Summer, 1999), pp. 411-424
DOI: 10.2307/3341396
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3341396
Page Count: 14
  • Read Online (Free)
  • Download ($14.00)
  • Cite this Item
If you need an accessible version of this item please contact JSTOR User Support
The Polls and the 1995 Quebec Referendum
Preview not available

Abstract

We perform a meta-analysis of 23 voter polls reported in the news media during the two-month period preceding the 1995 Quebec sovereignty referendum. Contrary to common interpretations of the course of the referendum campaign, we find that there was a smooth and general increase in support for the sovereignty option during this period, and that Lucien Bouchard's dramatic intervention on behalf of the "yes" campaign on October 9 apparently had little effect on voters' stated intentions. The same was true of other putatively consequential events that transpired during the referendum campaign. We conclude that the pre-referendum polls slightly, but systematically, exaggerated the level of support for sovereignty. /// Nous exécutons une analyse "meta" de vingt-trois sondages qui sont annonce dans les journaux devant une periode de deux mois avant la 1995 référendum sur la souverainté du Québec. En contraste des interpretations conventionelle pendant le cours de la referendum, on trouve un tendance positive pour la souverainté dans tout la periode et que l'intervention de Lucien Bouchard au commencement de 9 d'octobre sera pas de consequence. Ni les interventions des autres événements touche la direction. On conclus que les sondages avant le referendum, exagére, un peut, le support pour la souverainté du Québec.

Page Thumbnails

  • Thumbnail: Page 
411
    411
  • Thumbnail: Page 
412
    412
  • Thumbnail: Page 
413
    413
  • Thumbnail: Page 
414
    414
  • Thumbnail: Page 
415
    415
  • Thumbnail: Page 
416
    416
  • Thumbnail: Page 
417
    417
  • Thumbnail: Page 
418
    418
  • Thumbnail: Page 
419
    419
  • Thumbnail: Page 
420
    420
  • Thumbnail: Page 
421
    421
  • Thumbnail: Page 
422
    422
  • Thumbnail: Page 
423
    423
  • Thumbnail: Page 
424
    424