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Campaign Dynamics in the 1997 Canadian Election

André Blais, Richard Nadeau, Elisabeth Gidengil and Neil Nevitte
Canadian Public Policy / Analyse de Politiques
Vol. 25, No. 2 (Jun., 1999), pp. 197-205
DOI: 10.2307/3551888
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3551888
Page Count: 9
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Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
Campaign Dynamics in the 1997 Canadian Election
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Abstract

Cet article utilise les données de l'Étude sur l'élection canadienne de 1997 pour déterminer si les intentions de vote avaient bougé de façon substantielle au cours de la campagne électorale de 1997 et pour évaluer l'impact de deux événements clés de la campagne: les débats télévisés des chefs et la publicité du Parti réformiste sur les chefs québécois. Les données indiquent que les deux événements ont eu un impact significatif sur les intentions de vote mais que leur impact ne fut que temporaire; l'effet final sur le vote fut négligeable. Les données indiquent également que, indépendamment de ces deux événements, le Parti réformiste a fait des gains durant la campagne, surtout aux dépens du Parti libéral. /// The paper uses the 1997 Canadian Election Study (CES) to determine whether there were significant dynamics in the 1997 Canadian election and to provide an assessment of the two key events of the campaign: the televised leader debates and the "Quebec" Reform Party ad. The data indicate that both events had a substantial impact on vote intentions but that the impact was only temporary. Their final effect on the outcome of the election was negligible. The data also indicate that, irrespective of these two events, Reform made some gains during the campaign, mostly at the expense of the Liberals.

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