You are not currently logged in.
Access JSTOR through your library or other institution:
Measurement and Projection of the Demand for Health Care: The Chilean Experience
Thomas L. Hall, William A. Reinke and David Lawrence
Vol. 13, No. 6 (Jun., 1975), pp. 511-522
Published by: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3763488
Page Count: 12
You can always find the topics here!Topics: Health care services, Health care industry, Human resources, Health care utilization, Hospital utilization rate, Population estimates, Dentists, Health surveys, Documentary photography, Hospitalization
Were these topics helpful?See somethings inaccurate? Let us know!
Select the topics that are inaccurate.
Preview not available
Projection of the probable demand for health services over time is one of the most important-and difficult-aspects of the health planning process. Not only must the planner contend with many variables external to the health sector, but also with the difficult to predict correlations between the supply of health services and the resultant demand. This article briefly reviews some of the principal demand projection methods in use and then describes in detail the one adopted in the Chilean health manpower study. The demand portion of the study in Chile involved three main elements: 1) a sample survey which measured the met and unmet demand for medical, dental, and hospital services as a function of six population variables (age, sex, location, income, educational level, and medical insurance status); 2) a baseline demand projection which takes into account the probable effects of changes in these six variables over ten and 20 years on the utilization of services; and 3) an alternative projection which postulates the fulfillment of certain targets for the improvement of health care. The approach offers the planner a number of important analytical and programmatic advantages compared with other methods now available and are discussed along with their limitations.
Medical Care © 1975 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins