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Agenda: A Journal of Policy Analysis and Reform
Vol. 18, No. 1 (2011), pp. 5-11
Published by: ANU Press
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/43200616
Page Count: 7
You can always find the topics here!Topics: Economic growth, Government budgets, Financial economics, Statistical significance, Business economics, Macroeconomic policy, Gross domestic product, Analytical forecasting, Government spending, Economics
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The Australian government's 2010 Budget Papers present econometric evidence that purports to show a positive and 'highly statistically significant' relationship between the size of stimulus spending and subsequent economic growth in a sub-set of G20 countries. The analysis concluded that those countries, such as Australia, that adopted early and large fiscal stimulus packages had subsequently outperformed those that had not done so. This analysis, however, turns on an untenable and substantial truncation of the available sample, and suggests a failure of qualitycontrol processes with Treasury.
Agenda: A Journal of Policy Analysis and Reform © 2011 ANU Press