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Simulation of Mathematical Models for Public Health Problems
Lila Elveback and André Varma
Public Health Reports (1896-1970)
Vol. 80, No. 12 (Dec., 1965), pp. 1067-1076
Published by: Association of Schools of Public Health
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/4592614
Page Count: 10
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The increasing availability of large electronic computers has given great impetus to the use of simulation of stochastic models as a means of obtaining information, otherwise inaccessible, related to problems in public health and the medical sciences. The general nature of model building and simulation are discussed, and examples from the literature illustrate the broad range of problems in which the method already has proved useful. Using the familiar Reed-Frost epidemic model as an example, the entire process of obtaining probability distributions of total number of cases and duration is presented, along with results of the simulation procedure. An extension of the Reed-Frost model for the study of interference between viral agents is discussed.
Public Health Reports (1896-1970) © 1965 Association of Schools of Public Health