Access

You are not currently logged in.

Access your personal account or get JSTOR access through your library or other institution:

login

Log in to your personal account or through your institution.

If You Use a Screen Reader

This content is available through Read Online (Free) program, which relies on page scans. Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.

The Trial Selection Hypothesis without the 50 Percent Rule: Some Experimental Evidence

Robert E. Thomas
The Journal of Legal Studies
Vol. 24, No. 1 (Jan., 1995), pp. 209-228
Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/724596
Page Count: 20
  • Read Online (Free)
  • Download ($14.00)
  • Subscribe ($19.50)
  • Cite this Item
Since scans are not currently available to screen readers, please contact JSTOR User Support for access. We'll provide a PDF copy for your screen reader.
The Trial Selection Hypothesis without the 50 Percent Rule: Some Experimental Evidence
Preview not available

Abstract

The selection hypothesis, known for its conclusion that plaintiffs win 50 percent of trials, posits that (i) trials are disproportionately selected from disputes close to the decision standard (the selection effect), (ii) the range of disputes that go to trial decreases in the precision of attorney estimates of defendant fault, and (iii) attorney estimates are essentially perfect. This article uses experimental methods to examine implications of the selection hypothesis. The results provide support for a selection effect, but there is no evidence of a relation between trial disputes and estimation precision. Instead, the difference between the two sides' estimates as well as the closeness of the dispute are the most significant determinants of dispute disposition. These results suggest that if attorneys estimate fault imperfectly, trials occur when attorneys draw extreme values from the distributions of their estimates. If systematic biases exist, then plaintiff win rates vary with the dispute type.

Page Thumbnails

  • Thumbnail: Page 
209
    209
  • Thumbnail: Page 
210
    210
  • Thumbnail: Page 
211
    211
  • Thumbnail: Page 
212
    212
  • Thumbnail: Page 
213
    213
  • Thumbnail: Page 
214
    214
  • Thumbnail: Page 
215
    215
  • Thumbnail: Page 
216
    216
  • Thumbnail: Page 
217
    217
  • Thumbnail: Page 
218
    218
  • Thumbnail: Page 
219
    219
  • Thumbnail: Page 
220
    220
  • Thumbnail: Page 
221
    221
  • Thumbnail: Page 
222
    222
  • Thumbnail: Page 
223
    223
  • Thumbnail: Page 
224
    224
  • Thumbnail: Page 
225
    225
  • Thumbnail: Page 
226
    226
  • Thumbnail: Page 
227
    227
  • Thumbnail: Page 
228
    228